Last-stop ramblings on international horse racing and football

No chance for the Gunners

2012-03-06T07:32:00.000-08:00

I am surprised there are still odds on offer for Milan to qualify against Arsenal in tonight's Champions League qualifier. Take them because Arsenal have no chance of qualifying after their 0-4 defeat at the San Siro. Absolutely no chance. They are not sure even to win this game, let alone win by more than 4 goals. This is not the Milan that let a 3-goal slip to Liverpool in the UCL final a few years back. The Italians would have learned their lesson.

Despite its last 2 wins in the EPL, the Gunners are still a thoroughly exposed team with a leaky defence; they were certainly lucky to get the win at Anfield last week-end. Their only positive note for them is Van Persie but Milan will be all too aware to muzzle him. If the visitors score 1, Arsenal will need 6 goals to qualify on the away goals rule. It's mission impossible for Wenger and his team. I am not even bothering reading his comments on his players having the belief to qualify. That's the only thing he can say and every one knows it won't happen. Even if Arsenal were to score the first goal in the first minute, there would be no need be shaking; they will not qualify today and gone will be their last Cup hope again. However small the odds for Milan to qualify, they are a bargain.

To qualify: Milan

On the wane and on the rise

2012-03-05T11:48:00.000-08:00

Rocket Man, Man City and Fulham all won easily; the only blot to the selections was Ultimate Eagle who got caught up in a speed duel in the early part of the race and ran out of gas to finish unplaced. His jockey Martin Pedroza complained about losing all chance in the suicidal early pace he was forced into with another runner; what gets to me is when jockeys complain about being caught in a speed frenzy, when the wisest thing to do as a rider is to relax the horse to let him run at its pace.

The EPL just got a tad more interesting with both Manchester teams winning, but more particularly with Man Utd getting 3 massive points at White Hart Lane. Whether their victory against Tottenham was deserved or not is a futile subject matter; the Red Devils have every reason to be growing in confidence. Their title chances are real.

What is also real is the sacking of Villa-Boas at Chelsea. To be fair to him, he inherited a team of aging stars in full decline. As mentioned many times, the team needs to be overhauled to compete with the likes of the Manchester teams again. Drogba, Terry, Lampard and co are on their last legs and it is amazing that the club top brass hasn't done much to look into reinforcing these backbone areas despite sitting on billions. Or so they thought 50million on Torres would do the trick?

A highlight of the week-end was Rory Mc Ilroy's win in the Honda Classic that elevated him as World No 1 Golfer for the first time. The fact that he beat Tiger Woods into second place could be a sign of things to come. It would not be surprising at all if these 2 were to duke it out in the Major tournaments this year. Game on, start of a true rivalry perhaps!

Lots on the line

2012-03-02T09:21:00.000-08:00

Opinion Poll was among the placings, as expected, but Viscount Nelson was a no-show. The latter summed up a disappointing meeting for the de Kock stable, in contrast to the Godolphin team which are pouring in the entries and getting the results, i.e. wins.

With their huge stable, it is no surprise that today the Dubai stable announced the recruitment of a 3rd jockey in their ranks, notably Barzalona, to help the causes of Dettori and the newly-recruited de Sousa. They were always going to attract the best jockeys to replace Dettori and the 2 new recruits are among the best in the business. Godolphin look to have renewed spring in their steps this year, and should be followed closely.

Racing Stateside, this week-end sees the running of the Santa Anita Handicap. Ultimate Eagle is the one to follow here; the son of Mizzen Mast looks to play a leading role among the older division this year after a demolition of the field on his first start on dirt. He should be in the first 3 and is recommended as a Place.

Moving East-wide, more particularly in Singapore, where the country's flag-ship horse Rocket Man makes his preparation for the Golden Shaheen in a few weeks time by running in a 6-furlong race in Kranji. He should win this, even though I don't think he's still as good as before (in other words, I don't think he will be a threat to Black Caviar if they were to meet). He's recommended as a Win.

In football, this looks like a week-end where Man City could distance themselves from Man Utd as the latter face a tough trip to Tottenham while City host Bolton. The Citizens should win their match against the Trotters and are recommended as a straight Win. If Utd can win at White Hart Lane, it would be massive for them and send shudders to their neighbours. A huge game it will be on Sunday and it could go either way.

Fulham host Wolves and I believe Martin Jol's men will pile misery on the visitors, who look primed for the drop, I believe. Fulham is a draw-no-bet selection.

Win: Rocket Man, Man City

Place: Ultimate Eagle

Draw-no-bet: Fulham

Meydan Week 8

2012-02-29T13:53:00.000-08:00

Meydan is the shining light amid this rather quiet sporting week where dull and meaningless international football is about the only thing on offer.

In the Group 2 Zabeel Mile, Viscount Nelson stands out after his recent win a fortnight ago. Mike de Kock has yet again brought back to life a Ballydoyle reject and the son of Giant's Causeway should be among the major contenders again. He is recommended as an each-way.

In the Group 3 1m6f race, the winner looks destined to come from the Godolphin camp, with Fox Hunter and Opinion Poll being the market leaders. The latter always gives a good account of himself and does well after a layoff. He's run well at Meydan before although he hasn't won at the track. Frankie Dettori has opted for Fox Hunter but Barzalona has proven to be as equally or even more effective as the stable second string jockey. I recommend Opinion Poll as a Place.

Each-way: Viscount Nelson

Place: Opinion Poll

Parking the bus

2012-02-27T14:44:00.000-08:00

Man City & Chelsea won, Newcastle drew, and Tottenham was thrashed against nemesis Arsenal despite taking a 2-goal lead.

Harry Redknapp is an excellent manager, possibly the best English one out there, but you get the feeling that sometimes his teams can play in a kamikaze way such that leading by two goals does not mean an automatic 3 points. He just does not park the bus in front of goal. Contrast this with Mourinho where his team will never lose whenever they have a 2-goal margin. Different managerial styles and different effectiveness as well. Hopefully whenever Redknapp gets the England job, he will ensure that the result is the only thing counting; spectacular football does not exist or count in international football!

Ryan Giggs is just an amazing footballer. Not counting his 900th EPL game, simply look at his winning goal for the Man Utd in the last second of their match at Norwich. Coolness personified. The guy's is rightly a legend among the Old Trafford faithful and at thirty-eight, he is still one of the best out there! He goes past youngsters as if he were in his twenties!

At the end of the week-end, Man City look as strong as ever. The return of Tevez will help them. Man Utd will keep the pressure and it will come down to how mentally good Mancini and his men are. The title is theirs to lose and they have got it all to prove. They definitely look good value from the recommendation on them months ago.

In horse racing in the US, the trials for the Kentucky Derby are coming fast and furious and this week-end saw the impressive return of Union Rags. He looks the part and although it's too early to have any type of punt on the race, he's the deserving front-runner at this point. The last few years have been such prominent types in the market being jinxed by injuries prior to the race etc, hopefully this colt will have a chance to prove his worth come the first week of May.

Lousy Dettori ride

2012-02-24T10:46:00.000-08:00

Pimpernel backers will rightly feel aggrieved after the shocking ride she was subjected to in the Oaks. Just finished watching the replay again and no matter what Al Zarooni has said about Pimpernel being "too keen early on", the ride from Frankie Dettori merits disgust. She wouldn't have won, but second place was there for the taking, had the Italian shown some vigor aboard. Where was the Dettori full of zest aboard Rewilding in lowering the colors of So You Think at Royal Ascot? Talk about being him being immobile on Pimpernel. If yesterday's race had been run in Hong Kong, the stewards would have sent Frankie on a long expensive holiday, no doubt.

Frankie's a great jockey but he came out with a shameful nugget in that race.

The week-end's EPL match-ups are coming up and you get the feeling that some managers out there are playing for their careers. I don't know who's feeling more pressure right now, Villa Boas or Wenger? Probably the Chelsea manager, as the Frenchman still has some "goodwill" left with the Arsenal board, although that is surely rapidly dwindling! Both teams will win nothing this year, I predict!

Chelsea host Bolton in what are 3 must-win points, or else AVB could be out after the final whistle. I think they'll win although nothing is certain with the club in crisis. Draw-no-bet looks good value at this point and is the recommendation.

Newcastle host Wolves who will be under a new manager. Usually the introduction of a new manager somewhat spurs the team in his first game in charge, but they are really up to a very good Newcastle team at St James Park. The Magpies will have had the time to reflect on their recent drubbing at Tottenham and it's hard to see them losing at home. I recommend the hosts as draw-no-bet as well.

Leaders Man City host Blackburn and this should be straightforward win for the hosts. They have got their players back from the African Nations Cup. More importantly, they have settled things with Tevez, who will be an important asset in the title run-in. Although the Argentinian will not be playing tomorrow, Man City should have ample ammunition to see of Blackburn.

To me, Spurs looks to have the upper hand against Arsenal in the London Derby. The Gunners will play at home but their form is so poor and their team beset by injuries and a lack of confidence, that this is a great opportunity for the high-flying Spurs to prolong their arch-rivals' misery. Besides Van Persie, Tottenham will field a team that is better than Arsenal's in every other position. Spurs look to be the best value punt of the week-end.

Win: Man City
Draw-no-bet: Chelsea, Newcastle, Tottenham

Meydan Week 7

2012-02-22T13:19:00.000-08:00

Real Madrid was a kick away from winning in Moscow, but with the safety net of draw-no-bets, there cannot be too many complaints regarding the draw. A great escape route that was. The other selection to have them qualify looks comfortable and assured.

Thursday is Meydan day with the Oaks being the center of attention. This should go to one of Al Zarooni's fillies, there isn't much doubt about that. Pimpernel is the deserving favourite after her second place to Gamilati in the Guineas. Her run from a layoff and first-time on Tapeta was very promising and she beat all of Thursday's contenders on that day, except for Falls of Llora who did not run. She is bound to have improved and I cannot see her out of the first 2. Her main danger will be from stable-mate Falls of Lora who will be making her seasonal debut. The daughter of Street Cry will be suited by the trip and the only question marks are her fitness level after her layoff and whether she'll take to the synthetic surface. She will certainly improve for the run. I give a slight edge to Pimpernel, only because she's had a first run already but I wouldn't be surprised if Falls of Lora runs her close. I recommend Places as well as an exacta (any order) on both Godolphin fillies.

Place: Pimpernel, Falls of Lora

Exacta: Pimpernel/Falls of Lora

Breeze for Madrid

2012-02-21T08:28:00.000-08:00

A winning week-end as both Real Madrid and Animal Kingdom won. PSG scraped though with a draw against Montpellier for a voided draw-no-bet.

Confidence goes to Real again in their Champions League tie against CSKA Moscow. I see the Los Blancos going far in this competition and they are in supreme form at the moment. Mourinho has beaten CSKA before and knows how to win there even in sub-zero temperatures and an artificial pitch to deal with. Besides, the Moscovites have just resumed their league fixtures, contrary to the other in-season European teams, so they will be found wanting against the runaway leaders of La Liga. I see Madrid easily qualifying over 2 rounds, so it's easy to recommend them To Qualify. Also, their current form should see them comfortably deal with the hosts in the first leg itself; they are recommended as a strong draw-no-bet.

Draw-no-bet: Real Madrid

To Qualify: Real Madrid

Week-end preview

2012-02-17T10:47:00.000-08:00

Rerouted came out a good Place in third behind Delegator, but the good selection was offset with Rio de la Plata finishing a non-threatening 7th in the mile race. Two bad runs out of two for Rio de la Plata at Meydan, gives enough credence to the fact that the son of Rahy does not like the track, as was the fear in the previous post.

This week-end will be quieter than usual with the FA Cup matches taking over from the EPL. The competition is a breeding ground for upsets, more so because even the big guns don't always field in their best teams. The certainty level of any match is almost nil, which makes it better to skip analyzing the fixture list altogether from a punting point of view.

Looking at La Liga, and Real Madrid welcome Santander. In normal circumstances, this is a straight win for the hosts. Given their comfortable cushion at the top, and with a Champions League game coming up, will Mourinho field his best team? Possibly not! But I expect him to field a team good enough to win the 3 points. Real is recommended as a Win, but throw this away if the starting line-up on Saturday is close to being the reserve team itself!

La Ligue 1 sees a match of leaders between Montpellier and PSG. The latter will certainly look at the home field advantage to try to extend their 1-point lead. Ancelotti has had his men in pretty fine shape and form since his arrival and I expect him to come out with the right tactical nous to overcome the visitors. I recommend PSG as a draw-no-bet.

In racing, Animal Kingdom, winner of last year's Kentucky Derby makes his seasonal re-appearance at Gulfstream Park on turf. The son of Leroidesanimaux will use this outing as a springboard to the Dubai World Cup next month. His bullet works have looked promising and although he shouldn't be in peak condition, he should have too much class for the field. I expect him to Win.

Win: Real Madrid, Animal Kingdom
Draw-no-bet: PSG

Meydan Week 6 and Europa

2012-02-16T04:59:00.000-08:00

Godolphin again come out with the heavy artillery on the Thursday Meydan card and it would be no surprise if they make a razzia of the wins, leaving the rest to the de Kock team. There are 2 horses that catch my attention on the race card.

The third race 7f Handicap sees Rerouted back in action after his fifth-placed finish a fortnight ago in a 6f Group race. He finished the race very strongly from an impossible position; the step up in trip in handicap company should play well in his hands and is a major contender here. I recommend him as an each-way.

Rio de la Plata makes his seasonal return in the Al Fahidi Fort Group 2 mile race. If he's near to his best, he should be among the main finishers. Word from his trainer is that he is in good form and expected to run well. My worry with him is that the only time he raced in Meydan, he finished a bad last, so he still has answers to give regarding the track. With this element of risk in mind, he is a Place selection.

Finally in football, 2 giants of European football are contesting an Europa league contest as Man Utd visit Ajax. The Dutch outfits are a sorry bunch this year, being only a current 6th in the Dutch league. They are plagued by off-field management problems as well which seem to have had a negative effect on the entire club. It's not vintage Ajax. On the other hand, Man Utd seem to be taking the competition seriously after having been shockingly dumped out of their Champions League qualifying group. I strongly think they will qualify from this tie in a fortnight and this is the recommendation.

Each-way: Rerouted

Place: Rio de la Plata

To qualify: Man Utd

As thick as they come

2012-02-14T08:16:00.000-08:00

Barcelona and Shackleford were losers for the week-end while the rest of the selections went on fine.

The talk in football was all about the pre-match hand-shake snub of Suarez towards Evra. There are lots of thick players in the EPL (think Balotelli, Tevez, Barton...) but Suarez is without doubt the thickest of them all. So he thinks he's the victim in the whole episode, even though he's been found guilty of racially abusing the Frenchman! Livepool fans and club must be kicking themselves in the teeth for having such a ignominious character.

The whole week prior to the game, everyone's been talking about the eventual hand-shake, and you'd think that one of the things on Kenny Dalglish's mind would be to witness it or attempt to see its outcome. "I never knew he never shook his hand" he quipped live in the post-match interview...Amazing reaction from the King himself; he's just about running out of excuses for the striker but turned in a great acting performance live on tv. With the PR damage, it would not surprise me if King Kenny and his striker got the boot from the owners at the end of the season.

Man Utd got the 3 big points and are as menacing as ever to Man City. The latter will have the benefit of getting their African stars back. It looks that Tevez could also be back in the frame for the Citizens; is it an act of desperation or forgiveness? For sure, the Argentinian at his best is an asset to any team in the title run-in.

La Liga has already gone to Madrid, and there's just this worry that both Barcelona and Madrid won't field their best teams in the league games anymore because of the margin of error the Los Blancos are enjoying. I can see them fielding weakened teams on the week-end whenever they have Champions League game coming up. Mourinho will be all too aware that the UCL is the next big one to get, with La Liga in the bag.

In golf, Tiger could not close again. He seems having a tough time finding his 4th-round mojo where he usually leaves his opponents trailing in his wake. Instead, he flopped badly in the final round again, shooting a 75. Tiger's not quite back yet but he's getting there. Patience, patience as we await the golf icon back to his dominant best . It's getting close, I believe.

Restricted Choice

2012-02-10T13:07:00.000-08:00

Pardon, am still in celebratory mood after this fantastic Meydan Thursday meeting. Besides the disappointment of Bold Silvano, every selection was bang on. The calls on Mendip, Spring of Fame (both available at double figures), Kinglet, Mutahadee were as good as expected, while Dubai Prince, Mr Brock and Dark Matter proved rewarding lays as well. The analysis of Meydan form is working wonders since the start of the Carnival and may it continue!

It's also been an eventful last couple of days in football where Capello resigned as England manager at the same time that Harry Redknapp was found non-guilty of his tax evasion charges. Talk about timing. No doubt that Redknapp is the best man for the job. If not him, give it to Martin O'Neill. I would take either one of them. O'Neill is not English, so what? If tomorrow Mourinho expressed interest in the job, all those voicing on the rooftops that "the manager has to be English", would welcome the Portuguese in a flash. Would they rather have Stuart Pearce who's accomplished nothing but who's English? Come on, the manager has to be "preferably" English, but if not, as long as he's been part of English football and understands the players he's working with and he speaks English well (no loss in translation), he should be considered. Stuart Pearce at 6/1 to become England permanent manager, makes me laugh. Well, what has he accomplished? If Mc Laren was a total disaster, then the FA can ponder what kind of failure appointing Pearce would be.

Ok, here's my selections for this week-end's football; Man Utd take on Liverpool, a rivalry which has somewhat lost its lustre for the past years because of the diverging fortunes of both teams. Man Utd have been tops for the past decades, Liverpool have been perennial disappointments year after year. The Red Devils are again gunning for the title, Liverpool are fighting for a 4th place finish. Rooney and Chicharito look to be back in form and I see Man Utd either winning or drawing this. A draw-no-bet on them looks safe, even if Johnny Evans looks set to start.

Newcastle have been admirable this year but they are in for a tough match at Tottenham. Having Harry Redknapp back (at least for the moment until he signs for England), and more importantly worry-free of off-field problems, should boost the players. It's essentially a must-win for them if they are to keep pace with the Manchester teams at the top. I recommend Tottenham as a draw-no-bet as well.

In Spain, Barcelona travel to Osasuna and must go get the 3 points there to realistically have any chance to retain the title this year. I don't think it's a certain deal they will win, but I cannot see them losing either, so I go draw-no-bet on the Blaugrana. Real Madrid play Levante at the Bernabeu and they should get maximum points from this game. They are a Win.

I also see a Win for Bayern against Kaiserslautern in the Bundesliga.

My value punt of the week-end is in racing Stateside where the Group 1 Donn Handicap will be run at Gulfstream Park. The main pretenders are last year's Preakness winner Shackleford and Belmont's winner Ruler on Ice. Word from Shackleford's camp is that the colt is in great form, and definitely the distance will suit. I cannot see him out of the first 3 in this race, so Shackleford looks a safe Place bet.

Win: Real Madrid, Bayern Munich

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd, Tottenham, Barcelona

Place: Shackleford

Meydan Week 6

2012-02-08T17:18:00.000-08:00

Godolphin are out in full force in Week 6 of the Carnival and it will not be surprising if they win the bulk of the races. Some leading contenders for the Dubai World Cup will be in action, so the Thursday meeting is going be give some good indication of their progress towards World Cup night.

Race 1 is for Arabian pure-breds and I must admit I know nothing about them except that they are much more difficult to train than thorougbreds!

Race 2, 1m3f Handicap. Indications are that this race will go to Godolphin, unless Jamr decides otherwise. The Blue team have leading duo Holberg and Spring of Fame to count on and I think the winner will come out of these 2. Holberg has serious form from last year and is coming back after a year layoff. He might need the run. Spring of Fame came a good second to Prince Bishop about 3 weeks ago, and should improve on that run. My preference goes to Spring of Fame as a Place. Mr Brock always gives a good account of himself but the age and distance will play against him. Should be at good odds to be laid against for layers.

Race 3, 2000 Guineas. An open contest which should go to either a Godolphin colt or Mike de Kock's Mickdaam. Let me say here that Dark Matter from Singapore is possibly the best horse in the race and has beaten many of the same opponents before. However, he has run an extra race since he beat all these and is bound to lack some freshness as a result. He's a current lay at his current odds of 4/1. Of the Godolphin representatives, I like Kinglet the most and the way he finished his last race means that the distance will suit him perfectly. I recommend him as an each-way.

Race 4, 1m4f Handicap. This is quite an open contest and I will be interested to follow Irish Flame, who was one of last year's main disappointments from the de Kock stable. Word is that he's in much better shape now than last year, but he'll have to show it on the track first. If he's fit and at his best, he should be in the first 3, but that's not certain. Too open to call.

Race 5, 1m Group 3. Bold Silvano makes his comeback in this mile race. He's bound not to be 100% for this race after coming from such a layoff and with his main aim being World Cup night. Still, if he's serious about the World Cup, he has to show he's still got ability against some useful sorts in that race. My recommendation is an each-way on him.

Race 6, 1m1f Group 2. The main race of the card and one main prep for the DWC. This is going to be a hot contest and it won't escape the grasp of either de Kock or Godolphin again. Dubai Prince is without doubt top-notch but there are many questions regarding him. He's a lightly-raced colt that has been beset with injuries. His odds look way too short. I think Mendip and Master of Hounds will run well. They have the benefit of a run a month ago and will have the necessary improvement in them. Prince Bishop has been impressive in his win 3 weeks ago and could be involved in the placings. My selection would be a Win couple on Master of Hounds and Mendip, and that should provide cover if one of them wins.

Race 7, 1m1f Handicap. Mutahadee was impressive on his last win and should at least be in the placings. I have him as a Place.

Win: Master of Hounds/Mendip

Place: Spring of Fame, Mutahadee

Each-way: Kinglet, Bold Silvano.

Taking on the world

2012-02-07T13:46:00.000-08:00

A couple of disappointing results on Sunday marred what looked to be a very promising week-end after Saturday; Juventus and Sevilla failed miserably, Man Utd drew and the rest of the selections won.

Man Utd made yet another remarkable comeback but I don't know whether to label their 3-all draw at Chelsea as a point gained or two points lost. On the basis of the game itself, I believe they deserved to get the 3 points out of the match; without their 10-minute folly at the start of the second half, they were mostly the best team on the pitch. But their problem is their weak defence. Johnny Evans (again) on the team-sheet should just give shudders to Utd fans. Rio Ferdinand is clearly not the defender he once was. Their chances to concede goals goes dramatically up with the absence of Vidic. Goalkeeper De Gea has been the subject of ridicule since he joined the club but his save from the Mata free-kick in the end was just top-class.

Chelsea played without core players like Terry, Cole, Drogba and Lampard and were mainly opportunistic on their goals. Again, their best player turned out to be Mata. Stifle Mata (if you can) and the whole Chelsea machine comes to a halt; I don't see them getting any silverware this season.

So at the end of it all, Man City open a 2-point lead at the top but Sir Alex's team looks to have turned up the notch a few levels, just as you'd expect them to at this time of the season. City's remaining schedule looks arguably easier and they will greatly benefit from the return of some of their stars from the African Nations Cup. Provided they don't choke, the odds are still in City's favour.

In racing, Alpha turned out an easy winner in the Withers. It will be interesting to follow the Triple Crown trail this year with its record number of entries including quite a few from powerhouses such as Ballydoyle and Godolphin.

Just following some of the latest racing news that Black Caviar might feature at Dubai World Cup night before going to Royal Ascot. I dearly hope that happens and what's certain for me is that there'll be only one horse to punt on. Even with the other superstar sprinter Sepoy to challenge, Black Caviar is just a notch above any other sprinter in this world. Every racing fan is certainly waiting for her to strut her stuff on the world stage this year.

Week-end preview

2012-02-03T13:31:00.000-08:00

Gamilati justified the confidence in her in spectacular fashion by trouncing the Guineas field. To be fair, Pimpernel, who came out second, was boxed in the straight and could have been closer than the 5.5 separating the 2, but she was never going to beat Gamilati. It will be interesting to see what route the connections take with the daughter of Bernardini but she looks poised to compete in the top 3-year old filly races this year. She's to be followed, that's for sure. So is Pimpernel who gave a good impression on her return.

Staying in racing on Saturday, the same Blue team send out Alpha in the Withers Stakes at Aqueduct on the Kentucky Derby trail. I cannot see him out of the first 2, so I recommend him as an each-way.

In football, Man Utd face a tough trip to rivals Chelsea in what could be 3 crucial points for the taking for both teams. Although the Red Devils have a poor recent record at Stamford Bridge, I have a feeling they will not come empty-handed this time. They were very good on the road against Arsenal and arguably against Liverpool as well. If they can show the same amount of grit and determination, they are well capable of beating a Chelsea side that will be missing Terry and Drogba amongst others. It's not certain, but Man Utd as a draw-no-bet looks great value to me and is my recommendation.

I see leaders Man City either winning or drawing against Fulham at the Etihaad, so I have them as a draw-no-bet as well. Same for Arsenal, who should be taking 3 points against Blackburn but a doubt persists with the absence of some of their players and the uneasy form they are in at the moment. So, it's safer to have the Gunners as draw-no-bet too.

In Serie A, Juventus should win against Siena, so a win on Buffon and co looks safe.

In La Liga, Barcelona should win at home against Real Sociedad. It will be a matter of how many goals they are able to score in this one. Real Madrid should be safe draw-no-bets as they travel to Getafe. They are well on their way to the title. I like Sevilla's chances at home to sorry Villareal and have them as a draw-no-bet.

Win: Juventus, Barcelona

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd, Man City, Real Madrid, Arsenal, Sevilla

Each-way: Alpha

Meydan Week 5

2012-02-02T14:17:00.000-08:00

Man Utd and Spurs both won their mid-week features, piling on the pressure on Man City who lost to Everton. Clearly the Citizens are missing some of their key players gone to the African Nations Cup and its impact cannot be underestimated. It's game on for these 3 teams.

Thursday sees another competitive night of Meydan racing in the Gulf. This is a meeting where the smaller players can bask in the sunlight as the big guns of Godolphin and Mike de Kock send a rather restricted number of troops for battle. The only race where I can see some certainty is the Listed 1000 Guineas at 12:10 which should go to Gamilati. The daughter of Bernardini will have the benefit of a run last month where she was an impressive going away winner. Word from Al Zarooni is that she has improved since then and so she should be hard to beat. Her main opponent might be her stable-mate Pimpernel whose UK form last year looks solid. This race will definitely go to the Godolphin team as there is no de Kock horse to oppose. I recommend Gamilati as a Win.

Win: Gamilati.

Highlights all over

2012-01-30T13:57:00.000-08:00

5 out of 7 selections obliged with Igugu, Milan, Palermo, Real and Lyon all winning, but Inter and Barcelona disappointing against lowly opposition. The week-end was not short of highlights in many departments.

In La Liga, it is almost done deal for Real who have shot 7 points clear at the top. They look a certainty to win the title and only a cataclysmic occurrence (like Mourinho quitting before the season end) will stop them. It is looking sweet right now, having recommended piling on them a couple of months ago.

In tennis, what else to say about Djokovic beating Nadal yet again in a Major final? He's got his sights on Roland Garros already and Nadal has a few weeks to figure out how to stop the Serbian machine. After all, Paris is the Spaniard's hunting ground and it will be interesting to see if Nole has the ammunition to topple him on his favourite surface. We'll get there in due time.

In golf, Tiger let go of the win in the final round in Abu Dhabi to an English journeyman golfer. It used to be that Tiger would always make the difference in the last round if leading after 3 rounds, but his defeat shows that he's not quite at his best level yet. Still a third place finish looks honorable as he continues his comeback assault.

In racing, the Kenilworth meeting in South Africa was a treat to watch. What a beautiful mover Jackson, the winner of the Cape Investec Derby, is. Definitely one to watch in future middle-distance races. Ebony Flyer, who I have been gloating about in these pages but who flopped badly in the Queen's Plate, redeemed herself and won the Group 1 mile race on the card. But the star of the evening was Igugu, no doubt. She produced a jaw-dropping finishing kick to win when all observers had her beaten. Super Igugu, she would beat any filly on this planet from 10-12 furlongs, in my opinion.

Tuesday sees a rare Premier League fixture and I see Man Utd and Tottenham keeping the pressure on leaders Man City. They should dispatch Stoke and Wigan respectively at home; a Win on Man Utd is recommended, while a conservative draw-no-bet on Spurs looks safer than an outright win (there's always the disruptive effects of manager Redknapp's off-field issues on the functioning of the team).

Win: Man Utd

Draw-no-bet: Tottenham

Busy week-end

2012-01-27T13:23:00.000-08:00

Terrific last couple of days with African Story and Musir winning the plaudits in Meydan and Djokovic reaching the Australian Open Final as recommended.

The EPL leaves the stage to the FA Cup this week-end, with a Liverpool v/s Man Utd as the highlight match. Cup matches rarely have anything to do with EPL form so it is pointless for me to try to find teams that will go through. I will rather focus on La Liga where Real and Barcelona go back to battle for the title after their epic Cup showdown. With eyes closed, the recommendation is on Real to overcome last-place Zaragoza. It will be a matter of how many goals the Los Blancos will score against a club that looks destined for relegation.

Barcelona have an arguably more difficult match against Villareal, who are the disappointing team of the league. This is a team that was contending in the Champions League not long ago and who now find themselves fighting for survival in the top flight. The Catalans cannot afford to lose any points in this match and provided they do not suffer from the absences of Iniesta and Sanchez, they should get the Win in the end. They are recommended as a Win as well.

In Serie A, I like draw-no-bets for AC Milan, Inter and Palermo as they are playing inferior opposition.
In La Ligue 1, Lyon looks a safe draw-no-bet against Dijon.

South African racing has a big Saturday with no less than 3 Group 1's and 1 Group 2 up for grabs. The main race is the J&B Met in which superstar filly Igugu is the big favourite. The main question is whether she has fully recovered from the throat infection that had affected her, and the subsequent tough quarantine to which she had been subjected. If she's back to her best, she'll win. Throat infections can destroy a career; the one that comes to mind is Discreet Cat's in the DWC. The horse never came back to his best again. Although Igugu's problem does not look as serious as that of the former Godolphin star, it will still be interesting if that could have had any effect on her. I think as odds-against, she's worth the punt as a Win as she is better than anything in the field by far. With those risks in mind, the recommendation is for her to Win.

Win: Real Madrid, Barcelona, Igugu

Draw-no-bet: Milan, Inter, Palermo, Lyon

Meydan Week 4

2012-01-25T12:58:00.000-08:00

Moataz came in a game second, fairly beaten by 3 lengths. It was a case of the winner being too good.

Thursday is the 4th round of the Dubai Carnival and overall, it looks to be a quiet week for the Mike de Kock stable (besides Musir's race) since the conditioner is probably more focused on this Saturday's J&B Met meeting in Cape Town! Godolphin send out some decent types and although they don't seem as intimidating as those in previous weeks, they still have a stronghold on the market. Here are my views of the races.

The first race looks to be a very competitive handicap with nothing standing out clearly; so it would be speculative to guess on the outcome, better stay away.

The second race sees the first run of African Story under the Blue colors. He's previously been under the Andre Fabre care and has relatively good form in Pattern races, having been close to Moonlight Cloud and Sahpresa. This looks a decent contest for his seasonal return and I recommend him as a Place.

I would caution against going all out on favourite Time Prisoner in the third race. Looking at last year's form, he alternates the good and the bad races. Each of his wins was followed by an unplaced finish. He won a fortnight ago, and could still win or place tomorrow, but just be wary of these blemishes in his track record.

Races No 5 and 7 are thoroughly-competitive handicaps that can go to several, so I'll abstain again.

The main race of the day is the Group 2 Dubai Duty Free in race 6 where Musir will lock horns with the high-class Presvis, City Style and Rajsaman. I believe the 9 furlongs distance is the optimum trip for Musir. Having shown he's still a top horse 2 weeks ago, he's again the horse to beat and I cannot see him out of the first 3. Presvis is possibly one of the most difficult horses to ride. He can only be asked for action at the right time at the finish so that he does not idle after having burst through the pack; a top horse that cannot be always trusted to produce given his non-versatility.Ryan Moore knows him to perfection and has a fantastic record with him, but they are still dependent on the right pace going for them. I believe the City Style will be stretched by the distance and Rajsaman will have lots to prove for his new connections. A Place on Musir looks safe and I think going for the outright Win looks a worthy risk as well.

Win: Musir
Place: African Story

Southwell Tuesday

2012-01-23T14:24:00.000-08:00

A very quiet by normal standards, but a winning one with Real and Barcelona both winning. Dubawi Cheetah was scratched and did not run.

It was Manchester 2 London 0 in the match-up of the top teams in the Premier League. Man City were lucky to get the 3 points with a last-gap penalty kick taken by Balotelli. The result could so easily have swung in Tottenham's favour had Defoe not missed a gaping open goal minutes before City's game winner. These 3 points could prove decisive in the end, no doubt.

Man Utd played like champions in winning at the Emirates Stadium. They certainly won't give up the title fight until the end and man-handled Arsenal for a deserved win. The after-match talk was all about the controversial substitution of Arsenal's arguably best player on the pitch Alex Chamberlain after their goal. I agree with those that maintain that Wenger got it wrong (again) there. The young phenom was one of the few players able to cause some havoc in the Mancunian defence and should have continued the game if they were serious of getting the badly-needed 3 points out of the game. Just reading Wenger's post-match analysis would make an Arsenal fan want to cry; he felt they could have won the game comfortably in the second-half. I don't know which game he was looking at, but Man Utd should have easily buried a couple of goals on his Gunners; the visitors were by far the most menacing throughout the game.

In La Liga, Real and Barcelona won as expected and it was another no-event at the top. Ramblings of squad conflict at the Bernabeu are surfacing and it will be interesting if these unsettle the Los Blancos. At the present, Madrid are playing as good professionally as they can in La Liga and I cannot see any reason why they are not to be followed.

On Tuesday, back to racing where the 15:50 race at Southwell looks a good place for Moataz to strike again in the space of 3 days. The Mark Johnston stable is on fire and Moataz looks to be ahead of the handicapper in this average handicap. If the Elusive Quality gelding takes well to the fibresand surface, he should play a major role at the finish. I recommend him as an each-way punt.

Each-way: Moataz

Week-end preview

2012-01-20T14:09:00.000-08:00

What a big difference 2 short heads can make. Measuring Time and Mahbooba got touched off by the slimmest of margins just when they looked to bring the big bacon home. You win some and you lose some at the photo finish, and what could have been a great race day turned into a rather tepid one.

The Club Oceanic/Measuring Time each-way couple worked great as the latter came second at great odds. It would have been even better if he had won. The Prince Bishop/Spring of Fame each-way couple also worked wonders as they finished 1-2. Mutahadee beat Viscount Nelson for a 1-2 for the de Kock team, but the stable was not so lucky as Mahbooba got pipped on the line by First City in the Cape Verdi. Finally, Disa Leader did not show much in his first race in Dubai as he flattened in the straight when well-placed throughout.

On Saturday, I like Dubawi Cheetah in the 12:50 maiden mile race. He finished an encouraging second in his debut twelve days ago and he is entitled to further improvement. Unless one of the newcomers is out of the ordinary, this runner from the Fahey stable should have no trouble winning this race. I recommend him as a straight Win.

In football, I cannot see any certainties in the Premier League. Obviously, the 2 games of interest at the top pit the 2 Manchester teams against Londoners Arsenal and Tottenham. The results of these matches can go either
way, so it would be speculation to try to find the winners.

In La Liga, Real Madrid should resume winning ways as it hosts Athletic Bilbao. This should be a straigtht win for the Los Blancos provided they have recovered from the mid-week defeat at the hands of Barcelona. A Win recommendation is placed on the hosts. Barcelona travel to Malaga and they should at least get a point of that game; so I recommend them as a draw-no-bet.

Win: Dubawi Cheetah, Real Madrid
Draw-no-bet: Barcelona

Meydan Week 3

2012-01-19T13:37:00.000-08:00

Hats off to Barcelona; they have Madrid and Mourinho in their pocket in direct encounters. They know how to beat them whether it is on the road or at home. It's a lesson learned not to go against Guardiola's men when they are up against their fierce rivals these days.

Let's focus on racing at Meydan where, touch wood, the selections have been pretty good and very satisfying for the initial couple of weeks. Godolphin are out in force this week and it would not surprise me that they rack up the bulk of the races.

The first race certainly gives them a great chance to strike with their double entry of Club Oceanic and Measuring Time. The 11-furlong distance should suit both horses and I see recommend them as an each-way couple. It will pay if one of them wins.

Ditto for Godolphin for the second race. I like both Prince Bishop and Spring of Fame and I think one of them will win the race. Coupling them each-way is the recommendation as well.

The 12:10 Handicap in the 3rd race will go to either of the powerhouses of Godolphin (again) or Mike de Kock. Viscount Nelson comes from Ballydoyle and has solid European form. He should do well for de Kock and it remains to be seen how fit he is after a layoff. Same for his stablemate Mutahadee. The Blues are represented by the Emerald Commander who has good form behind him as well, and Sea Lord who came up an interesting 4th a fortnight ago. The winner will come from one of these 4 horses and it's a tough call choosing, so I'll abstain giving a recommendation here.

The 6-furlong Conditions fourth race is very much open, so there are no certainties there as well.

The Group 2 Cape Verdi Stakes looks weak and Mahbooba stands out. I just cannot see her out of the first 3. If she runs to form, she should win this. She is worth the confidence for a straight Win and that's the recommendation.

The Handicap in the last race looks open and I will pay particular attention to Disa Leader, the champion from Mauritius. The last champion from Mauritius to go to Dubai was Mr Brock and he certainly flew the flag high for the local fans there. Disa Leader is widely acknowledged to be even better than Mr Brock, so he carries serious form with him. If he's fit and takes to the left-handed track (Mauritius has a right-handed track), he should be in the placings. His odds suggest that he might be the value bet of the day as Place. Certainly worth a punt if the evening up to that point has been rewarding. Let's hope it is!

Win: Mahbooba
Each-way: Club Oceanic/Measuring Time
Place: Disa Leader

Real value

2012-01-18T08:22:00.000-08:00

Real Madrid v/s Barcelona; an El Clasico that only last year would have been the top sports story of the day. After a few of these last year, all loaded with a never-before-seen prevalence of abject anti-sporting behaviour from both teams, the expectations have whittled down markedly. These rivals can be the 2 best in the world, but they are infected with a few class-less players that pours shame on the beautiful game.

That said, although today's match is about the first leg of a Copa del Rey round, it could also be a turning point in the fortunes of La Liga. A Madrid win could remove the mental block that its players are suffering whenever they are on the same field as the Blaugrana. A Madrid win would give them confidence to hold on their lead in La Liga. All to say that if Madrid can win tonight, Barcelona's stranghold on the Spanish and world football could finally be rocked.

Barcelona won at the Bernabeu a few weeks ago. In my mind, their 3-1 win flattered them because the score could easily have gone in the opposite direction. Had Ronaldo not missed 2 sitters at crucial moments of the game? The Blaugrana took their chances and came up with the 3 big points. There is never any certainty in opposing Barcelona. Once they turn on the engine, they can load it up against the best teams. But their form is patchy lately; their last win at home against Betis was not convincing at all. Against Madrid, they might miss the presence of their prolific injured striker David Villa.

I see value in backing Real at 1/1 draw-no-bet. There does not seem to be a better time to play Barcelona and the hosts will be well aware of it. With some obvious risk in mind, the recommendation is a draw-no-bet on Madrid. It is certain they will not be available at those odds again anytime soon.

Draw-no-bet: Real Madrid.

The Joker back in business

2012-01-17T08:59:00.000-08:00

Not a great week-end with only 4 punts winning out of 7, with 1 void and 2 losses. The big guns of Barcelona, Real, and Manchester teams won, but Juventus could only draw for a void, while Fiorentina and Valencia got shocking losses at home.

It's been a quiet last few days on the racing and football front. The news that So You Think is being considered for a Dubai World Cup bid is interesting. He'll be a deserving big favourite if he starts the race. I just cannot see a horse at this time that will have the class to challenge him. But this is more than 2 months away, so I'll get to that in due time.

Havre de Grace won the coveted Horse of the Year Eclipse award yesterday night. Truth be told, last year's racing form in the US was sketchy at best. There was no superstar or horse to be mentioned in the same breath as Zenyatta or Curlin. Havre de Grace is a deserving winner but she's no Zenyatta.

The Australian Open started this week and I cannot see past Djokovic here. He's just a step above the rest and his fans will be feel assured that he has kept last year's form after his first game yesterday. Chances are he will add another Major in a fortnight, and what looks certain is that he will at least reach the final. I cannot see Andy Murray blocking his way to get there. So that's the recommendation.

To Reach Final: Djokovic

Week-end football

2012-01-13T14:18:00.000-08:00

Don't want to be blowing the trumpet too loud, but Thursday's results at Meydan gave way to massive cheers all afternoon. Musir won and easily beat Mendip in the match-bet. Master of Hounds was second at odds of 7/1 for Place at the exchanges. Fantastic to hear that several of you followed the selections; hopefully the current vein of form continues going into this week-end.

It's another round of football on the European scene; in England, Man Utd welcome Bolton and it's hard to argue the hosts at the Theatre of Dreams, even though they can throw the odd clanker like against Blackburn a few weeks back. Their injury list seems to be easing and Rooney looks to be back on form. Bolton are a disappointing bunch and manager Owen Coyle is on the hot seat at the moment. Man Utd certainly won't lose this game, and are a draw-no-bet recommendation.

There is no doubt that Man City is feeling the pressure. They have lost another home game in mid-week, in the Carling Cup to Liverpool. They have lost their captain Kompany for 4 games. They will still have too much class when they visit struggling Wigan on Monday. It is the perfect game for them to get their confidence back. Man City is recommended as a draw-no-bet as well.

In La Liga, Barcelona welcome Real Betis in what is a must-win game if they are to keep pace with a flee-ing Real Madrid. The hosts should win this game and are an easy Win selection. Real Madrid face a more difficult encounter when they visit Mallorca. I think Mourinho will have his players spot on for getting the 3 points and I expect them to win this match. They are also recommended as a straight Win.

Third-place Valencia host struggling side Real Sociedad and the hosts have to be very well-fancied here. Both teams lost in mid-week in the Copa del Rey, with Sociedad getting thrashed 6-1 at Mallorca. The visitors are in a precarious situation, being only 2 points above the relegation zone and I expect Valencia to deepen their woes further on Saturday. A draw-no-bet on Valencia looks safe.

In Italy, the competition is heating up at the top of the table with at least 5 clubs within an 8-point gap. There is no clear dominant team in the Serie A. Juventus will look for maximum points as they host Cagliari and I expect them to get at least a draw. So they are advised as a draw-no-bet. Same for Fiorentina as they host bottom-of-table Lecce. The hosts have solid form at home and should recover from their 3-0 drubbing at Roma in the Coppa Italia in mid-week.

Win: Barcelona, Real Madrid

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd, Man City, Valenci, Juventus, Fiorentina

Meydan Week 2

2012-01-11T22:32:00.000-08:00

It's the second week of the Carnival at Meydan and as expected the Thursday card looks very competitive. No question that the attraction of the night is the Group 3 Maktoum Challenge race which features possible starters for the Dubai World Cup; i.e., much of it will depend on how they fare in this race first.

My pick in this race is Musir; it's simple, if he's top fit and near his best, he will win the race.He's coming off a 130-day break, so he's bound to be ring-rusty, but he's done very well coming back from a layoff before. There are 3 horses that could potentially outsmart Mike de Kock's colt; Master of Hounds, the stable's second-string which is bound to have a new lease of life under the South African trainer, having joined from the Ballydoyle camp. I've written many times how horse careers get transformed when they go through that transition and Master of Hounds looks up to great things under the care of de Kock. I have a feeling the trainer will use this race to gauge MOH's actual abilities, with a potential tilt at the DWC race itself should he show enough class.

Xin Xu Lin is being touted by Godolphin this year and it will not surprise me if he makes the frame.This is a high-class South American champion that was rushed to race in Meydan last year, and seems in much better condition to race this year. Al Zarooni looks bullish on his prospects and that usually means that the horse is expected to deliver. He can be a top contender if the others are not fully wound-up.

Finally, Mendip has serious form on the Meydan race-track. I have reservations about him since he was well beaten by Musir before and I find it hard to see him reversing the roles. His near-300 day layoff in such a competitive race looks to put him at a disadvantage as well. His No 1 stall should have him well placed in the race as long as he does not get caught on the rails.

My recommendation is a Place on Musir. Coming from stall No 4 should put him in good stalking position. If his form shines through, he should be right at the finish.

For anyone wanting a match-bet punt, I would go for Musir over Mendip. I also believe either Xin Xu Lin or Master of Hounds (or both) will be in the first 3, so a couple Place on both could be rewarding as well.

Place: Musir

Turning point?

2012-01-10T12:05:00.000-08:00

This was a week-end full of story-lines to say the least...

Let's start with racing where Ebony Flyer flopped badly in the Queen's Plate. There have been no real official excuses for her tame effort from the connections. There are a couple of things that could have undone her. First, her high draw could have taken a bit out of her as she tried to angle for a stalking spot from the start. Second, the hard race might have come too soon for her. Sure, she came out second in her prep race 3 weeks before, but maybe she needed more recuperation time in between races, particularly coming back from a wind operation. Anyways, her no-show was disappointing, and I would need to re-assess her real chances in her future races.

In football, Real won and Barcelona only drew; I am convinced that the silly points that the Blaugrana are losing on the road (think Sevilla, Espanol) will prove their undermining at the end. My recommendation in previous posts to load on Real for the title is looking good at the present.

But the football news of the week-end were the returns of legends Paul Scholes and Thierry Henry to their respective clubs. Scholes' return was necessary to fill the void left by a missing playmaker in the Red Devil's midfield. It remains to be seen if the red-headed genius still has the legs to perform at this level. Henry's return was fairy-tale as he notched the winner on his return. His game is no longer about speed, so it remains to be seen how he fits in the Arsenal attack.

How Man Utd's win at the Etihaad against neighbours Man City in the FA Cup, will affect the title run-in will be interesting. The Red Devils were on a 2-game slide and their mental strength would have been seriously rocked if they had faltered again. Clearly, the game was changed when Kompany was red-carded. If City can cope with his 4-game absence, they will get out of it full of belief and confidence. If not, this could be the turning point of the season. Mancini can complain all he wants about not having a complete squad. Like everyone, he knows has got the best in the Premier League. The title is still theirs to lose.

Start to the Second Half

2012-01-06T13:21:00.000-08:00

Muck'n'Brass was spot on as he comfortably dispatched the weak field.

Sticking with racing, Saturday sees the running of the Queen's Plate, one of South Africa's most prestigious races. Ebony Flyer is the horse I strongly fancy in that race as I rate her as one of the best mares in the country at the distance. She's a superstar in her own right, having taken the scalp of wonder filly Igugu before. Her prep in a sprint 3 weeks ago will have her prime for the race. I cannot see her out of the places, and her main opponent looks to be Variety Club, a rising 3-year old star. I recommend Ebony Flyer as a strong Place.

This week-end sees the return of league football in Spain and Italy. Real Madrid host Granada and although Jose Mourinho was far from happy of the Los Blancos' last match against Malaga in the Copa del Rey during the week, they should have too much firepower for the visitors. A straight Win is the recommendation on the hosts. Barcelona will face a Catalan duel when they visit Espanol. The Blaugrana should prove too strong as well and get the 3 points to maintain the gap with Madrid. A Win on Guardiola's men is also recommended.

Win: Real Madrid, Barcelona
Place: Ebony Flyer

Friday racing at Dundalk

2012-01-05T13:19:00.000-08:00

Great start to the racing year as Honour System obliged with a convincing win.

Let's continue with racing as on Friday, the first race at Dundalk looks to go to Muck'n'Brass, an Aussie Rules colt who finished a promising a course and distance third on his debut. With the experience garnered, he should be hard to beat in this weak maiden race.The selection will be ridden by Johnny Murtagh and is recommended as a Win.

Win: Muck'n'Brass

Meydan Carnival start

2012-01-04T13:00:00.000-08:00

Tottenham edge past West Brom to keep pace atop the table. Harry Redknapp's men will definitely need to grind out such kinds of results if they hope to challenge the Manchester teams for the title.

Meydan racing starts on Thursday and Godolphin look to be taking matters very seriously this year. Both bin Suroor and Al Zaroori are loading up the gates. I am not sure about the overall strategy of the Blue team here. Starting their best horses so early in Dubai will obviously rule them out for the important late European races of the year. The global picture regarding the goals of the stable has been fuzzy for some time; global domination does not seem to be top of the agenda anymore.

The Thursday card looks very competitive and I look at Honour System to offer the best forecast of the night, in the second handicap race. The Godolphin outfit has won in a handicap race at Meydan last year and the race looks within his grasp. Dettori takes the ride and I put a Place recommendation on the King Best gelding.

Place: Honour System

Honour Roll 2011

2012-01-03T13:11:00.000-08:00

Looking back at 2011 in which human or equine athletes made their marks; as usual, some disappointed, others confirmed on their promises, while a few others surpassed all expectations of them. These are my 3 stars of 2011 in sports.

Frankel - the Galileo colt, regarded on every handicap scale, as the best horse of 2011, went unbeaten in 5 races. His greatness was confirmed by the manner of his win in the 2000 Guineas where he literally hammered the race in a visually-awesome catch-me-if-you-can style. He went on to dispose of the then king-miler Canford Cliffs in convincing fashion. Described as the best ever by none other than his trainer, Henry Cecil, Frankel will remain in training as a 4-year old, to the obvious delight of racing fans. I rate him as the best miler to have ever raced on turf and can't wait for him to show he's the best ever at 10 furlongs this year. His sire being Galileo, I don't foresee him having any problems at the distance. Should he still be dominant, I would love to see him have a crack at either the Arc or the Breeders Cup Classic on dirt; more something of hope than confidence, as I am not so sure that is the planned plot by connections.

Black Caviar - the Australian superstar mare, quite simply the greatest sprinter in the world today, went 8 for 8 in 2011. Lifetime, she's undefeated in a staggering 16 races. I just cannot wait for her to step on European shores, particularly at Ascot, to show her greatness. No sprinter in Australia comes close to her; as a matter of fact, they try to avoid her. Since the horses Down Under have been dominating the Ascot sprint races for years, one can only imagine the effect she will have coming here. Ascot might never have seen the likes of it ever before; she will bring down the roof!

Novak Djokovic - my athlete of the year. Such displays of dominance in an unforgettable season where he notched 3 Grand Slam tournaments with a 70-6 record. The undisputed No1 in the world today as he looks to have locked mastery over Federer and Nadal. I thought Nadal was showing that he was THE one to follow, but the Serb has turned up the notch ever higher and crushed Nadal every time they met. His dominance has been surprising to say the least, but it certainly looks set to continue in 2012 if he stays healthy. Rafael Nadal has a big mental hurdle to overcome if he's to usurp Djokovic this year.

Football Wednesday

2012-01-02T23:35:00.000-08:00

Both Manchester teams faltered spectacularly as my recommendations to follow these 2 teams went dismally awry. Man Utd losing to Blackburn had more the kamikaze look that the Red Devils fans have been accustomed to in small parcels over the years, even more so this year. Man City losing to Sunderland 24 hours later pours cold water on the actual mental strength of the cash-rich club and on their ability to last the whole way to the top. Could a day of thinking over extending their lead at the top gotten to the heads of the players so that they come up with a no-show? Time will tell. But when players lose a match that their manager considers as must-win, serious doubts will rightly be raised.

The fact that the pursuing teams are also dropping points shows again that there is not much that much of a gulf in class in between clubs in the top flight, as in previous years. Tottenham is one such pursuer who seem to genuinely think they have a shot at the title. I think their title challenge will eventually peter out but I see them with a good chance to get maximum points as they host West Brom on Wednesday. Spurs have a Gareth Bale in top form as the Welsh wizard seems to be scoring goals for fun lately. His more advanced position in the Spurs setup means that he is a more direct threat to the opposing goal and he seems to have taken heart to his new role. Tottenham have been playing brilliantly of late. West Brom will prove a tough nut to crack, like all teams managed by Roy Hodgson. But it's hard to see the Baggies getting out of London with 3 points with the form that Spurs are in. I recommend the hosts as a draw-no-bet.

Draw-no-bet: Tottenham

Happy New Year 2012!

2011-12-30T21:56:00.000-08:00

Man Utd easily got the 3 expected points by thrashing Wigan. With his hat-trick, Berbatov is giving reminders that he is far from finished at Old Trafford. He has technical qualities and mental intelligence that the other strikers in the team do not have, which his manager can call upon when his strike force of Rooney and Chicharito is under par or not available.

The New Year fixtures are on the way and I believe it should be rewarding to keep confidence in both Manchester teams. The Red Devils host Blackburn in what should be a Win formality for them. I recommend them as a straight Win.

Man City travel to Sunderland and I cannot see the visitors losing this one. They misfired against West Brom in their last match in what must surely be a temporary setback for such a talented team. Sunderland will be without a few regulars, so my recommendation is for a draw-no-bet on Man City.

Wishing everyone a Happy New Year 2012, may it be filled with plenty of winners!

Win: Man Utd
Draw-no-bet: Man City

Boxing Day football

2011-12-25T23:51:00.000-08:00

Long live the Premier League with its Boxing Day fixtures and hopefully the same thought will prevail after the day's match results.

Man Utd are in a rich vein of form as they host Wigan, a club they've been treating as whipping boys since the Latics joined the top flight about a decade ago now. To the visitors' credit, they have been able to stand their ground against top clubs recently by drawing with Chelsea and Liverpool. So the Red Devils will be wrong to go into this game thinking that they are in for a stroll in the park. Since their defeat at Basle, Man Utd have gone on to record impressive wins, none less than last week's 5-0 victory against a usually home-strong Fulham team. They are losing players to injury at an alarming rate, the latest victims being Ashley Young and the very versatile Phil Jones. Still, they've very well covered in most areas and the return of Chicharito gives them serious fire power in attack. I don't think the hosts will disappoint the Old Trafford faithful and the surest selection of the day looks to be a straight win for the Red Devils; that's the recommendation.

Win: Man Utd

2011-12-24T12:14:00.000-08:00

WISHING EVERYONE A MERRY CHRISTMAS! PARTY SAFE!
HO!HO!HO!

Chelsea blues

2011-12-23T21:00:00.000-08:00

Man City and Inter Milan won as expected; pretty straightforward selections. Man Utd went to thrash Fulham 5-0 in London, which was a fantastic result for the Mancunians. They seem to be in great form and cannot be dismissed at the moment. They will not give up their title cheaply to their city rivals by any means! I still think strongly that City are in the driving seat.

Chelsea and Tottenham drew to the delight of both Manchester teams. Although John Terry had a very good game, I don't expect him to be able to give commanding performances game-in game-out until his prosecution affair is sorted out. There isn't any doubt that this will affect his game and his mental sharpness in the games to come. In fact, he could be a liability to his already-struggling defence. No doubt that courting Gary Cahill is a priority for Villa Boas at this moment. With or without John Terry, Chelsea will win neither the Premier League nor the Champions League, that's a given, in my mind. They are bound to lose Drogba for the Africa Cup in January. Realistically, they could even be out of the top 3 if Tottenham can keep their momentum. The Blues are still a good club with able players but I would not go close to punting on them for any title this year.

Mid-week EPL and Serie A

2011-12-20T08:54:00.000-08:00

A full mid-week programme of Premier League games takes centre-stage starting today.

Man City could very well extend their lead at the top as they welcome Stoke. The Potters are always a tough side to overcome either at home or on the road. They will be without Ryan Shawcross, their main pivot at the back. City will have to take this game with the same urgency as they did against Arsenal last week-end if they are to get the 3 points. I can't see Stoke winning this game, so the recommendation is a draw-no-bet on Man City.

Second-place Man Utd travel to Craven Cottage where it's always a struggle for visiting teams to get the 3 points. Fulham are strong at home and will surely provide stronger opposition than QPR last week-end against the Red Devils. Man Utd's form is a little unpredictable at the moment as they can be their dominant selves against the likes of Villa and QPR, but at the same time play poorly against minnows like Basle. They seem to alternate the good and bad games, and it is difficult what type of showing they will display against a strong Fulham team. The result of this game can go either way.

In the Serie A, Inter's seeming revival looks set to continue as they welcome bottom-club Lecce at the San Siro. Obviously, Inter cannot inspire 100% confidence anymore, but they should have too many guns for a leaky Lecce side that looks prime to be relegated at the end of the season . The hosts are recommended as a draw-no-bet as well.

Draw-no-bet: Man City, Inter Milan

Keep it flowing

2011-12-19T06:58:00.000-08:00

Milan, Juventus and Real Madrid all won, while Newcastle drew for a voided punt. The Magpies did not allow a shot on goal and had 22 shots themselves but couldn't find the net. Draw-no-bets are great in those circumstances in that they forgive strikers' day-offs.

Both Manchester clubs were impressive over the week-end in their wins. Man City came out deserved winners over Arsenal in a thrilling game at the Etihaad Stadium. They could have won by more. Man Utd were equally impressive in winning at Loftus Road. The scoreline should have been at least 5 goals difference if they had been more clinical in their finishing and with some luck. I have the feeling that there has been a sense of urgency for the Red Devils to double their efforts since their shocking Champions League exit so as not to be empty-handed trophy-wise at the end of the season. They don't have much room for any more mistakes.

Christiano Ronaldo partly redeemed himself after his nightmare Clasico game by firing a hat-trick against sorry Sevilla. I mentioned it before, I don't think there has ever been a midfielder with such a prolific record of goals. Messi comes close in terms of goal scoring but Ronaldo's goal ratio-to-games is tops. While the Los Blancos were ensuring that they were top of the table come the winter break, their nemesis Barcelona were celebrating yet another title by claiming the World Club Championship in Japan. Their short express trip to Japan shouldn't have any detrimental effect, physically speaking, on the Blaugrana since they are on their way to the holidays anyway! The second-half of the season sounds breathtaking already.

While the rest of Europe has now gone on a break, the EPL will plough on during the festivities. The congested fixtures come Boxing Day and New Year are some of the elements that make the EPL such a spectacular league. It might be the reason of the burn-out of England's players at international tournaments or of English teams in the Champions League, but football fans surely won't be complaining of the continuance of football. No chance of getting football withdrawal symptoms, at least not for the EPL!

Week-end football

2011-12-16T13:16:00.000-08:00

Really Lovely was absolutely lovely in winning her maiden race very easily.

Today saw the draws of the European Cup matches and British teams look to have it pretty tough. But it's really too early to analyze the match-ups because come February, many factors will have changed. So I will get to the matches at that time. Here is my preview of this week-end's football action.

I see Newcastle renewing with their winning ways as they host Chelsea. The Magpies have had a difficult few weeks having met with the likes of Man City, Man Utd and Chelsea, and will be content to finally meet a team that is not superior to theirs. Swansea are not doing as badly as many, including I, expected in the top flight and it remains to be seen if they can keep improving their points tally as the season progresses. Newcastle is also a team that is over-performing although they have really ridden their luck in a few games. They are a tough team to overcome at home and I expect them to either get the full 3 points, or at least a draw from this encounter. I recommend them as a draw-no-bet.

In Serie A, Juventus and AC Milan look set to bag all 3 points as they welcome struggling Novara and Siena respectively. I am always suspect of this Juventus side as they always seem to be dropping one nugget or two at the wrong time, so it's safest to have them as a draw-no-bet; Milan is recommended as a Win.

In La Liga, Real Madrid face a tough trip to Sevilla. The hosts are a very inconsistent team capable of the best to the worst. Although there is no doubt that the Los Blancos will have a challenging night, I see value in backing them as a draw-no-bet. Madrid will want to lead the league come the winter break and they should be able to do that by winning at least a point at Sevilla.

Win: AC Milan
Draw-no-bet: Newcastle, Real Madrid, Juventus

Friday at Southwell

2011-12-15T13:06:00.000-08:00

The confidence on Lazio was spot on and they beat Sporting 2-0, but Fulham flattered to disappoint by only drawing with Odense after leading by 2 goals and conceding a last-gap goal in the dying seconds of the game. How they managed not to win this game is just beyond belief.

All-weather racing is going about its merry way and I like Really Lovely in the 12:25 Maiden race at Southwell. The well-bred daugther of Galileo has yet to win in 5 attempts and must have been costing punters as she has been well-backed in her outings. She was short of room in her last race, so her 6th place should be discarded. The opposition on Friday looks nothing out of the ordinary and I reckon Really Lovely has a great chance to be in the placings. She might not win but she looks to be in the first 3, so I recommend her as a Place.

Place: Really Lovely

Europa action

2011-12-13T12:45:00.000-08:00

With the Champions League group stages done and dusted, we are left with the less-savoury Europa games for the week. There are 2 home teams that I like a lot for tomorrow's games; Fulham and Lazio.

Fulham host bottom-club Odense and will be on the look-out for 3 points if they are to keep their options of qualifying for the next round. Marin Jol's men are a formidable force at home and although the talk at Craven Cottage this week has been a possible rift between the manager and striker Zamora, the hosts should have too much class against the Danish side. I recommend Fulham as a Win.

Lazio welcome group leaders Sporting Lisbon and I see value in backing the Italians here. They are very strong at home, having yet to taste defeat on their ground. Sporting have already qualified for the next round and will certainly not be fielding their strongest team. Moreover, quite a few of their regulars are out injured. This is a game that Lazio must win to keep their qualifying chances alive and I cannot see them being beaten at home in these conditions. They are recommended as a draw-no-bet.

Win: Fulham
Draw-no-bet: Lazio

Lifeline to pursuers

2011-12-12T14:05:00.000-08:00

Very patchy run at the moment as Man Utd won as predicted, but Dortmund drew for a voided punt, and Real Madrid lost to Barcelona over the week-end.

The game at the Bernabeu could have really gone either way and it was a case of Barcelona realism talking as they took the most of their chances while Real Madrid spurned some great ones, uncharacteristically through Ronaldo. While Mourinho's persistence on the word "luck" to describe Barca's second goal holds water, the same can be same of Real's opening goal. A gift from Valdes. Certainly, had Ronaldo found the net to make it two nil when he only had the Barcelona keeper to beat, the game would probably have taken a different steering as Real would have taken a quite unassailable lead at that point of the match.

So what to make after the Clasico result? With one match still in hand, I still believe that Real hold a minute advantage at this stage. Barcelona have got the World Club Cup competition to address and it remains to be seen how its players will be affected by the congested fixture. It will be a case of which of the two avoids losing points to the rest of the league before the decisive match at the Nou Camp. But clearly, the mental and point advantage that Madrid were enjoying before their defeat has mostly vanished and it is a case of them trying to maximize points by going on a long winning run again.

In the EPL, Man City lost to Chelsea and allowing neighbours Man Utd to bridge the gap to 2 points. The Red Devils look set to start a winning run again after dispatching Wolves. Having Rooney regain his scoring touch must have been a great welcome and will be all too important for them given that they have lost Chicharito for quite a long time. It's still advantage Man City though for many reasons; more complete squad, Utd lost their best defender Vidic for the season, return leg will be at Etihad Stadium.

I still strongly think they are deserving favourites for the title although Utd will not go down without fighting. Chelsea, Tottenham, Arsenal will only be distant contenders, in my opinion.

What kind of Clasico?

2011-12-09T14:00:00.000-08:00

Interesting week-end in the Premier League where Man City are set for a tough test at Chelsea. This game is really too close to call, and it can go either way. That's one major hurdle in the Citizens' quest for the title and if they get 3 points out of it, their odds will surely go even lower.

The surest outcome in the EPL looks to be at Old Trafford where the reeling Red Devils welcome Wolves. The hosts suffered yet another setback when they lost Vidic for the season. Given that they probably were given the hair dryer treatment the whole week by boss Sir Alex Ferguson, they should be able to squeeze through this game. It's safest to go draw-no-bet on them, given that confidence must be at an very low level at Utd.

All the other games in the EPL look tight, so I wouldn't be surprised to see lots of draw matches this week-end.

The focus in European football is really on Sunday's El Clasico. These Clasico's have disappointed last year as they were subject to an abysmal level of un-fair play. So I will not have my spirits raised on those matches this year even though they clearly will oppose the 2 best football sides in the world, not just Spain or Europe. I've mentioned over the past weeks that Madrid look set to end years of domination from their Barcelona rivals, and this game on Sunday will be right for them to prove that they can be on a par with their fierce rivals. Barcelona are still the best team in the world and will be hard to beat, but they have lacked success on the road this year and nothing seems to indicate that they will have improved on their travels as they reach the Bernabeu. Madrid has the hunger and are driven by a manager that practically never loses at home. I see value in backing the hosts as draw-no-bet in this game. Obviously, it's never a sure thing to go against Barcelona, but the conditions look ripe to be on the side of the Los Blancos, assuming the inherent risk element involved. I think Madrid will be the side partying after the game.

In Germany, I like Dortmund as it hosts Kaiserslautern. A draw-no-bet on them should be safe.

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd, Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund

Clear out

2011-12-08T09:24:00.000-08:00

Both Manchester teams kicked out of the Champions League at the group stage! While City beat Bayern, albeit with futility, the Red Devils were beaten and KO'd in Basle.

There is no doubt which part of Manchester is hurting the most right now. The words at Old Trafford must be Clear Out! If the Carling Cup defeat at the hands of Crystal Palace must have started the clearing process, yesterday's defeat in Switzerland will most certainly have upped the urgency! I have a feeling that a lot of names, big or small, will not come back after next Summer after this disastrous exit from the Champions League.

The problem yesterday though was mostly Rooney. His mind is clearly not in his football since his family's scam accusation problems. How many goals has he scored since they were made public? One measly goal... On his best form, he would have scored at least 2 yesterday.

The other obvious problem at Utd is the injury list. There was no Chicharito, Berbatov or Owen to bail out the severely depleted attack. The only real playmaker of the team, Cleverley, was also out. One cannot help but ask if Sneijder would have filled beautifully in that spot, only if he had been signed!

However, in the end, the manager mostly always gets it right and although the ship is showing serious signs of sinking, Sir Alex Ferguson has proven to have the magic touch to bring it up again.

Man City for the title, as I have been writing, looks very cozy at the moment though.Very cozy indeed.

Qualification at stake

2011-12-06T13:46:00.000-08:00

Chelsea saved their scalp in the Champions League by beating Valencia. Drogba looks on fire lately; coincidentally the goals are flowing for him just after he announced that he will not be renewing his current contract! The saying that players look to be at their utmost best during negotiation time is really not far from the truth, really!

On Wednesday, it will be Man Utd's turn to try to save themselves from embarrassment by winning their qualification in Switzerland. Despite their current injury problems, I see them either winning or drawing their match. The fringe players can still make a big impact and they certainly have got the European experience to overcome Basle. Since they need a draw to qualify, I recommend them as a draw-no-bet and/or to qualify, whichever odds are better.

Man City host Bayern Munich and I see value in the Citizens here. They have to win to have any chance of qualifying to the next round, although a win will be futile if Napoli goes to win at Villareal. Bayern Munich have already qualified and look set not to play their first team. Also, as they are finding out in the Bundesliga, they are not as formidable without their midfield dynamo Bastian Schweinsteiger. Man City look set to capitalize on any such weaknesses in the visitors' team and are recommended as a draw-no-bet.

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd, Man City

They are back!

2011-12-05T14:54:00.000-08:00

7 winners out of 8 over the week-end; Everton failed at home to Stoke while the rest of the selections won. Very frustrating not to hit a perfect score on this one; Stoke are just playing spoilers and it's hard to gauge their actual form going into a game. Suffice to say it's better to stay away from Mowbray's men.

Very much the expected statu quo as far as the major European league tables are concerned. In the EPL, Man Utd clang on to the 5-point deficit to City after the Citizens had thrashed Norwich. However, they lost Chicharito in the process, which might make life a little difficult for Sir Alex Ferguson given that he's already without Berbatov and Owen for a while.

In La Liga, both Real and Barcelona won against minnows, and it's this coming week-end's Clasico that will play a major role in the destiny of the title. I'll get to the game in due time.

There are 2 events of note that took my attention over the week-end and they were not football related. The first one is Tiger's first PGA Tour win in 2 years. It looks like he's finally back and that should set him up very nicely for next year. A dominant Tiger is one of the best recommendations in Major tournaments.

Talking of dominance, Igugu, the South African superstar filly made her return to the tracks on Sunday, and it was a winning one as well. This followed the winning return a few days before, of another superstar filly in Ebony Flyer, who cantered home easily after months off the track due to an operation. According to Team Valor supremo, Barry Irwin, she's the best filly he's ever had; better than Ipi Tombe, kind of scary to think of it! Ebony Flyer did beat Igugu before, so she's the real deal. At 17.1 hands, she's even more imposing than Zenyatta. Igugu/Ebony Flyer, 2 fillies to follow closely in this coming South African racing season.

Week-end Preview

2011-12-02T11:45:00.000-08:00

Man Utd drew for a voided punt, but Tottenham lost at home, which was very frustrating given that they played with an extra man for more than half of the match. My bad call on that one. Week-end football is coming up and here are my selections.

In the EPL, Man City will look to either extend or maintain their lead. They host Norwich in what should be 3 garnered points for the Citizens. Although their form has been sketchy in the past few matches, I cannot see them lose this game; a draw-no-bet on the hosts is safe.

I also like Everton's chances at home to Stoke. The visitors have played an Europa game in mid-week and are on very suspect form of late. The Toffees are playing great football and obtaining great results lately, and I see them riding the momentum for a few more matches. Everton is recommended as a draw-no-bet as well.

In Spain, more of the same as Barcelona cannot afford to lose points against Levante. The hosts are recommended as a Win. Real Madrid travel to Sporting Gijon, who they will not take lightly as the same Gijon team caused a massive upset by winning the league game at the Bernabeu last year. Although Real should bag the 3 points, a draw-no-bet on them looks to be as rewarding as safe. I also like Valencia's chances as they host Espanol. Another draw-no-bet recommendation on the in-form striker Soldado and his team.

Let's make a rare stint in Italy where some front players look to have easy pickings as they host struggling teams. Juventus should beat Cesena and a Win recommendation is placed on the hosts. Lazio and Napoli should overcome Novara and Lecce respectively, but it's safer to have those as draw-no-bet and play it cautions for those games.

Win: Juventus, Barcelona
Draw-no-bet: Man City, Everton, Napoli, Lazio, Real Madrid, Valencia

Wednesday football

2011-11-30T08:42:00.000-08:00

Barcelona cosily dispatched Rayo in their safe haven of Nou Camp. A few things of note as I watched the game; Rayo tried to go mano-a-mano with Guardiola's men, trying to pressurize and hurry them off the ball. That can work well for half an hour, but after that, the legs are no longer there to stifle Barca's relentless attacking prowess. But credit to the visitors for giving it their all though. The other thing is the return of Alexis Sanchez for the Blaugrana. This guy can run at speed with the ball, no doubt. Gareth Bale, Nani, Sanchez, players of the same class level, in my opinion.

Today sees the last leg of the Carling Cup being played; yesterday Chelsea got dumped by Liverpool adding to the woes of Villa-Boas. With the Terry racial issue, the non-commitment of Drogba and the club's poor form, things are certainly not rosy at Stamford Bridge. Arsenal were eliminated by Man City, but that's no surprise there, it was more a case of boys playing against men.

Man Utd host Crystal Palace and the unsurprising word from Old Trafford is that the youngsters will play. Well, I think they will be surrounded pretty securely by the likes of Berbatov, Rafael, Smalling etc, who bring top-class experience with them. The visitors have a more important League game on Friday, so there is every chance that they will not be fielding their strongest team for tonight's game. With this in mind, the hosts look to have the upper hand and are recommended as a draw-no-bet. They will either win this game in 90 minutes or draw it out.

Tonight also sees Europa League action and Tottenham host Greek outfit PAOK. The first leg game ended draw-less, with Tottenham fielding one of their most inexperienced teams ever for a European game. This time, the stakes are different as failure to win will most certainly eliminate them from the competition. Harry Redknapp is a master at these kinds of encounters and he will certainly be fielding a competitive team to get the 3 points. I recommend Tottenham as a draw-no-bet as well.

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd, Tottenham

Real in the clear

2011-11-29T07:20:00.000-08:00

O Barca! It looked to be another great week-end with Chelsea and Madrid winning, and Man Utd drawing for a voided punt, until Barcelona did the unthinkable and got sunk at Getafe. I wrote last week about starting to take position on Real Madrid for the title; I more than strongly think that they cannot be caught. Obviously, the mumblings from the Barca camp is that there is still a long way to go, but they are voices of desperation at the task ahead of them. For all I can see, the longer the race, the longer can Madrid prolong their lead! They are the hungrier team, and with 6 points already in hand, they won't be allowed to rest on their laurels with a coach like Mourinho. Obviously, Christiano Ronaldo has to stay injury-free until the end of the campaign to greatly help their cause. They are really in the clear

In the Premier League, the gap is still 5 points between the 2 Manchester teams. I couldn't believe the headlines with David Beckham saying that City had NO chance to win the title! Usually he talks sense, but this time he certainly set aside all reasoning, talking as a Utd fan. Obviously, City have a great chance to win the title and Utd cannot afford to continue misfiring like against the likes of Newcastle this week-end. Sure, there's the controversial penalty, but the problem is deeper, in that the team is being continually rotated to make due of injuries and lack of a real playmaker.

The racing news of the week-end was the defeat of Danedream in the Japan Cup. I don't think she was outclassed in finishing sixth, around 4 lengths off the winner. Obviously the winner Buena Vista is a super filly on her own and deserves this win more than anyone else after having been quite harshly disqualified in last year's edition. There's a lot of upside in following Danedream next year as she looks to get even better, in my opinion.

Going back to football, in a few hours, Barcelona host Rayo Vellacano for a La Liga game. No doubt here, however disappointing the Blaugrana were against Getafe, they are impenetrable at the Nou Camp and should win this handily. A straight win is an easy recommendation here if you're willing to go for the considerably short odds.

Win: Barcelona

Week-end football

2011-11-25T07:53:00.000-08:00

Valencia was an oh-so-easy winner against poor Genk, thrashing them 7-0. No surprise there. Week-end football is coming up and am hoping that the hot streak continues, so let's get at it.

A struggling Chelsea side is hosting Wolves and there is no manager in the game under pressure as is Villa-Boas nowadays. A defeat could be the tipping point for him to be toppled. However, I don't think they will lose this game. Wolves will be missing a few first-team players, and the Blues will be eager to right their sinking ship. Their lack of confidence might be low, but in the end Chelsea should come up with at least a point in this game. A draw-no-bet on the hosts is recommended.

Man Utd host Newcastle and getting the 3 points is far from a certainty for the Red Devils. The recent loss of Anderson to injury means that their midfield is really stretched to the limit. They had a hard game against Benfica in mid-week, which is hardly the best preparation to face the Magpies. I personally think there are big question marks regarding Rooney; his recent hip injury, his lack of goal scoring since the news of his family being involved in betting scams, and his re-positioning in a midfield role in the team. It will be interesting if he finds his full confidence back against Newcastle, a team he's been known to have the knack of scoring goals against. As for Pardew's men, they have overachieved since the start, but will be missing a few first choice players for the game. I would not be surprised if this game ended in a draw, and I can't see the hosts losing this; so a draw-no-bet on Man Utd is recommended.

The banker of the week-end is Real Madrid who host Athletico Madrid. The Los Blancos haven't lost to their city rivals for years, and that won't change over the week-end. Real is on fire right now. Athletico will be missing many players including their much-vaunted striker Falcao. I see lots of goals for the hosts in this game. They will certainly win and they are an easy Win recommendation.

Barcelona are on the road to Getafe. The Blaugrana were impressive in midweek by winning at the San Siro. Once Real will have dispatched Athletico, Messi and co will have no choice to win to retain the gap to 3 points between them and the Los Blancos. They should have all the class and firepower to do it and should win their game. They are recommended as an outright Win as well.

Win: Real Madrid, Barcelona

Draw-no-bet: Chelsea, Man Utd

Wednesday football

2011-11-22T13:40:00.000-08:00

Bayern Munich easily beat Villareal for a winning selection.

Staying in the Champions League on Wednesday, Valencia look to be atoning on their week-end loss to Real Madrid when they host Belgian outfit Racing Genk. Their first match ended into a goal-less draw although the Spaniards overwhelmed their opponents in shots and possession. The 3 points are ripe for the taking for the hosts as they try to secure second place from Bayern Leverkusen. They cannot afford to lose points in this match and I recommend them as an outright win.

Win: Valencia

Crystal clear at the top

2011-11-21T13:28:00.000-08:00

6 wins out of 6 recommendations over the week-end. Seem to be riding a great form at the moment. Man City, Man Utd, Barcelona, Real Madrid, Stuttgart and Schalke all won.

In the EPL, it's NO longer premature to say that the title will go between the 2 Manchester sides. I honestly cannot see any other team disputing it. And if I have to make a bold prediction, Man City are in a position to win the Premiership very handily this year. Just my opinion. At the moment, the Red Devils are huffing and puffing, missing the influence of Rooney up-front as they try to cover for the lack of a real play-maker with the absence of Cleverley due to injury. They must ensure that they do not lose points during their relatively modest form of late, or else City could open an insurmountable gap by Christmas time. Obviously, things will change and even the Citizens' form will suffer the normal season's ebbs and flows, but one cannot help feel that they have a deep-enough squad to withstand the challenges ahead. If Mancini can steer the ship alright, they are in a royal position to win it. Never discount Alex Ferguson's men though, they will never give up the fight, certain not to their neighbours!

I have the same feeling regarding Real Madrid in La Liga. They are getting better and better, they have Mourinho, they have Christiano Ronaldo, and they have the upper hand on Barcelona right now. Certainly the 3 hard-earned points at the Mestella this week-end will enormously help the Los Blancos at the end of the campaign. The Blaugrana just cannot afford to lose points as Madrid look to be a very strong leader.

At the moment, for those playing the long view/big returns game, it might make sense to start taking a gradual position on both Man City and Real Madrid to win their respective titles.

On Champions League Tuesday, I like Bayern Munich to overcome Villareal at home. The hosts lost to Dortmund over the week-end, a game which turned out to be a trap as I was mentioning during my preview. However, Villareal is a club in transition and although they have kept a clean sheet in their past 3 games, their level is certainly not up to par to previous years'. The Bavarians will be keen to win this game to secure top spot and I just cannot see them failing against the struggling Spanish team. The hosts are a strong recommendation for a draw-no-bet.

Draw-no-bet: Bayern Munich

Week-end preview

2011-11-18T12:40:00.000-08:00

Good old club football is back after the boring international friendlies. Just need to make sure that the selections are not affected by the disruption of the 2-week break and most importantly, from injuries.

In the EPL, Man City should overcome Newcastle at home. The Magpies are still unbeaten at this stage and re the surprise package of the first half of the season. However, they will be missing a few starting players like Tiote in midfield and Best in attack. Man City can play 2 teams as their depth in squad is pretty much unparalleled in the Premiership. The team is so potent that goals can come from anywhere. I recommend Man City as a strong draw-no-bet.

Man Utd visit Swansea and should be able to keep up the pressure on neighbours City. Although they will be without Cleverley, Wellbeck and Owen, the fringe players can easily add their bit to the team. I don't expect this game to be a goal fest but I see the Red Devils edging this out at the end. It won't be easy for them, but they should have too much class for the hosts. I recommend Man Utd as a draw-no-bet as well.

In Spain, Barcelona should have no problem to overcome Zaragoza at home. Already trailing Real Madrid by 3 points, it will be important for Messi and co to get maximum points at the Nou Camp. They are an easy Win recommendation. The Los Blancos face an arguably tough task visiting third-place Valencia, who happen to be unbeaten at home so far. This is the kind of game where there is value backing Mourinho's team as a draw-no-bet. I see them getting at least a point from this match, and should they get the 3 points, they would have successfully removed a giant obstacle on their path to the title.

In Germany, it's the top match between Dortmund and Munich. Bayern lost their influential midfielder Bastian Schweinsteiger recently and it will be interesting to see how it affects their dynamic. This game is too close to call although the hosts clearly have the advantage of home soil. Rather, I will focus on the Schalke-Nurnberg and Stuttgart-Augsburg matches where the hosts look to be enjoying a massive home advantage and are thus recommended as strong draw-no-bets.

Win: Barcelona
Draw-no-bet: Man City, Man Utd, Real Madrid, Schalke, Stuttgart

Racing resources

2011-11-17T14:26:00.000-08:00

I'm often asked about online resources on thoroughbred racing and I'm more than happy to comment on some of those that I think provide good and useful information.

Obviously, as all racing people know, the premier racing site for English and European racing is the Racing Post (racingpost.co.uk). It contains THE database for all horses and their performances including interesting statistics. Their very well-classified News section is always the quickest to update. For over a year now, they have started a comprehensive Video section with features and race replays etc. I don't necessarily agree with their tv pundits as some of them seem to be more interested into showmanship, but some of their features on horses and trainers are fine.

Attheraces.com is another excellent website. I really like the fact that they display the pedigree of the horses on the race cards. They have an exceptional free Video library and their occasional features on horses, trainers is unsurpassed. I find them useful for those not having access to their satellite tv channel, when on trips etc. If a replay of a UK race is not available at attheraces.com, it is most probably in the racing video section of sportinglife.com or racinguk.com.

Drf.com is quickly becoming one of my favourite sites. The US equivalent of the Racing Post, its main focus is still mainly US racing but it has been revamped recently and very often offers live feeds of important races around the world for free. For instance, Dubai racing, the Melbourne Cup, Breeders Cup, Champions Stakes etc, were all broadcasted live on the site.

On the literature side, there are a few good daily publications such as thoroughbreddailynews.com, thoroughbredtimes.com, throughbredinternet.com and bloodhorse.com which I know many columnists refer to.

I find that all of the above provide a certain appeal and the way to benefit from them is to be selective from each. Get what you feel is the best out of each, be it pedigree queries, news, race cards, statistics etc.

Last, many jockeys and trainers have personal web sites as well as Twitter accounts. It's hard to gather whether reading those that are of actual benefit for analysis since they deal with a lot of subjective matter. Will a trainer ever publicly state that a horse he's running has no chance? Read their words with caution!

Cartier coronation

2011-11-16T07:57:00.000-08:00

It's jubilation galore as Ireland, Portugal and Czechoslovakia justified the confidence placed in them in these playoffs. While the Irish and Czechs had virtually booked their tickets to the finals in the first leg, the Portuguese were left with all to do to overcome the Bosnians and they did not disappoint after another brilliant display from Christiano Ronaldo.

At this moment, it's obviously too early to have any kind of inkling as to how all the qualified teams will fare at Euro 2012. Injuries, team form, suspensions, fatigue etc are bound to be major factors and it will be speculative to have a punt on any one of them now.

In racing, the Cartier awards were held yesterday and I pretty much am agreeable with the outcome in all the categories. Invincible Frankel winning the top honours is stating the obvious. Cirrus des Aigles beating So You Think for the older male category is fine too since he beat the Ballydoyle horse in the Champion Stakes. Danedream's stupendous win in the Arc was voted best filly over Blue Bunting. The manner of her victory was certainly decisive there. Dabirsim was unbeaten in 5 races as a juvenile and won the category deservedly. It will be interesting how he fares next year. Being by young Japanese stallion Hat Trick, there is not much history or guidance as to the route of his development. Fame and Glory was best stayer but you feel he can't be categorized in the same class as Yeats, yet!

The American version of the Cartier, the Eclipse awards, is on the other hand, spurring lots of debate mainly as regards crowning Horse of the Year. Basically there is no clear front runner as a few of the top contenders flopped at the recent Breeders Cup. The debate is sure to rage on until January when the winners will be announced.

Ramblings from the week-end

2011-11-14T13:39:00.000-08:00

Sitting pretty on Ireland and the Czechs as they are virtually through to the Finals after convincing wins in the first leg. Portugal was unable to strike in Bosnia, and although they are still the favourites, there is a risk that they could be outdone on away goals. Imagine Bosnia scoring the first goal and parking the bus... My opinion is that Portugal have enough quality and firepower to score a few against the Bosnians at home and are still the more likely to go through. It wouldn't hurt however to cover your positions if you're already loaded on them to qualify in case the visitors play for the away goals. After all, returns from the Ireland and Czechs qualifying should be more than enough to take a small cover on Portugal-Bosnia match.

A few tidbits from the sporting world over this past week-end. I was looking much forward to the return to the track of Overdose, the Budapest Bullet, in Italy. He duly won and beat Italy's best sprinter by half-a-length. Considering that he won this race by 10 lengths a couple of years back, before his feet problems, it can be strongly argued whether he's still at the peak of his powers. Being a 6-year old now definitely does not help. My assessment is that he's still a good sprinter and can win in lesser fields of Italy and Germany, but will find it very hard against proven sprinters in France, England and Hong Kong, where the connections are planning to race him next. We'll see if he can be better than what he showed on Sunday.

In football, England beat Spain in the international friendly. Whether they were dominated or not, a Win is a win, and a great moral boost for the hosts. No nation will beat Spain at the moment by matching their football. Even a great footballing side like the Netherlands had to resort to negative tactics in the World Cup final to try to break the rhythm of the Spanish team. It nearly worked for them. I think Saturday's win will have given the team belief that they can get a result against any team but they have to build on that result, or else they are bound to regress to the doldrums and remain a perennial disappointment.

In golf, could Tiger be on his way back? It certainly looks so after an encouraging third in the Australian Open. The guy's trying new things with a new caddie; it will take time for him to get back to his winning ways and dominance, but he'll win again for sure. Next year is definitely the year to start following him like at the start of this century.

Euro 2012 Playoffs

2011-11-11T10:52:00.000-08:00

Enchanted Dream was a disappointing unplaced; reading her trainer's comments, she apparently did not take to the fibresand, but she did well on her last appearance on it. I think that she got outpaced and the 7 furlongs was a little on the sharp side for her. A longer distance would have suited her better.

In a few hours, the Euro 2012 playoffs will commence and I unreservedly think Portugal, Ireland and the Czechs are going to go through. No surprise there as they are favourites of their ties. As regards Turkey against Croatia, I think the underdogs Turks have a great chance to qualify; at this stage, mental toughness will shine through and the Turk national team certainly has the edge over the Croats in this regard. For value punters, Turkey is the one to look at, in my opinion, in these playoffs

Portugal should be able to overcome Bosnia over 2 legs. They not only can count on Christiano Ronaldo, but also a cast of other big-game players like Nani, Meireles etc. The Portuguese to qualify is the recommendation.

Ireland will not have a better chance to qualify as they play Estonia. Trappatoni is a master trainer who will get his tactics right; I hope the Irish go through because of the injustice suffered at the hands (no pun-intended!) of the Thierry Henry fraud in the World Cup 2010 playoffs. I think they will and recommend to qualify as well.

Finally, it looks to be close between the Czechs and Montenegro but the former boast a much richer pedigree in the competition. They are maybe slightly weaker than the Czech teams of a few years back, but still a formidable force to reckon with. I recommend the Peter Cech and his acolytes to go through.

To qualify: Ireland, Portugal, Czechoslovakia

Thursday at Southwell

2011-11-09T12:26:00.000-08:00

With the end of the regular racing season and the international football break, this is a very quiet week by the usual standards. The all-weather cards ensure that flat racing is never really off, though.

On Thursday, the 14:20 race-card at Southwell looks a good spot for Enchanted Dream from the Margarson stable to break her maiden. The daughter of Halling was a good second over course and distance 17 days ago and should be among the main contenders in this rather weak field. The race favourite Afkar, from the Clive Brittain stable should provide the main threat. I cannot see Enchanted Dream out of the placings, so I recommend her as a Place.

Place: Enchanted Dream

Week-end to remember

2011-11-07T12:33:00.000-08:00

A huge week-end indeed it was as 9 out of the 11 recommendations worked wonders, 1 voided (Liverpool) and 1 lost (Barcelona to win). It would have been tops if the Blaugrana had won, but even so, the rest made up for a week-end to remember.

In football, Man Utd, Real Madrid, Man City, Aston Villa, Chelsea all won, Liverpool drew for a voided punt, and Barcelona only drew as well. It was a close shave for the Red Devils who only had to thank old team-mate Wes Brown for an own goal. Barcelona were undone by an unplayable field, that's one of the ways to stop them. Real Madrid are now 3 points clear and the Catalans will be mindful to mind the gap.

Racing was tops with Goldikova justifying the confidence of a Place result, and beating Strong Suit in a match-bet. Though jockey Peslier certainly caused trouble to the others with a petulant change of lane to give his mount clear daylight, I doubt that the affected horses could have toppled the Queen for the third place finish without the incident. Laying Strong Suit and Uncle Mo proved justifiable and rewarding, particularly that I don't usually recommend lays, unless they are that obvious.

Some of my other observations from the Breeders Cup. St Nicholas Abbey finally showed the form many, including I, were expecting him to run since his dominating juvenile year. He was simply outstanding and would have given the best middle-distance horses a run for their money on that day. A peach of a ride from Joseph O'Brien as well.

So You Think ran well and I thought he had a great chance entering the straight but in the end, his effort was very gallant, finishing not too far to the winner. The lesson yet again from those World Championships is that European runners are tough to beat on turf just as the dirt is the domain of the US runners. There are bound to be exceptions like Arazi, Johannesburg and Court Vision, but the greater probability will mostly prevail.

On the local scene, Paul Hanagan won his second consecutive jockey championship. But the jockey that met the eye this year was certainly Silvestre de Sousa. A fantastically powerful finisher, there's no doubt that he can improve up and bounds to become among the best in the business. He is certainly to be followed as from now on.

Huge Week-end

2011-11-04T17:47:00.000-07:00

A fantastic week-end of racing and football is on the menu, and it's hoping that the punts turn out to be as great as well.

Let's start with the Breeders' Cup where I cannot see Goldikova coming out of the placings. Draw is good, track is good and she's encountered better opposition. I can foresee just 2 negatives, if any. That she could get boxed in the straight from the rails. But I hardly see that happening with a seasoned jockey like Peslier. The second negative would be if the turf turned too soft. It looks like it will be a mixture of good to yielding; obviously the firmer, the better for her, but the ground conditions should be alright for her. I think the Queen is set to win her last race, and if she doesn't, she should be in the second or third. A Place recommendation on Goldikova looks safe to me.

In the same race, I re-iterate my previous observation that Strong Suit does not have the credentials to win this race. He's too short at 4/1 and is a big lay in my books. I cannot see him winning a match-bet against Goldikova. So I recommend a Lay to Win on him, and I also confidently recommend Goldikova in a match-bet against him.

The main race is the one everyone wants to win and So You Think will carry Europe's or Australasia's hopes, whichever angle you look at it. It will be a tall order for the son of High Chaparral. Pedigree-wise, the dirt will not suit. He's going to sport blinkers which he hasn't done since a couple of years back. He comes over a difficult October with 2 hard races in the Arc and Champion Stakes. Basically, he's got hardly any decent rest for this race. Remains to be seen how jockey Ryan Moore will cope on the dirt surface. To be seen whether trainer O'Brien has mismanaged him yet again. All questions marks of note, but if there is a horse who can do it against the odds, it will be him. His critics pound him for not being the super horse he was billed out to be Down Under. Maybe he disappointed in 3 losses in Europe, but to me, there were excuses to all of them, which I've covered at length before. He gained my admiration when nearly winning the Champion Stakes after only 13 days rest from the Arc. I hope he wins the Classic, but it is more hope than confidence.

Uncle Mo is the favourite of the race and although he is possibly the best miler on dirt, he will have to stretch to cover the 10 furlongs. Any chance he had of winning was scuppered with his outside draw, in my estimate. He is a stalker of a horse that is never off the pace and things will be harder for him from the outside post. His odds are way too short and it makes sense to oppose him; I recommend to Lay him as Win.

In football, I cannot think of a better way for Man Utd to celebrate Alex Ferguson's extraordinary 25 years at the helm, by beating Sunderland. Steve Bruce's men have no chance of winning this. If they are lucky, they can squeeze in a point. But I believe the Red Devils will win this and recommend them as an outright Win.

Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool and Man City are all recommended as draw-no-bets as I don't see them being bothered by the inferior opposition they will be facing.

In La Liga, Real Madrid is a banker to beat Osasuna. I just cannot see them being held by Osasuna, so I recommend the Los Blancos as an outright Win. Barcelona face an arguably tougher task in Athletico Bilbao but they should prevail at the end, and are also recommended as a straight Win.

Win: Real Madrid, Barcelona, Man Utd

Draw-no-bet: Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City

Place: Goldikova

Match-bet: Goldikova

Lay: Strong Suit, Uncle Mo

A Strong Lay

2011-11-03T19:31:00.000-07:00

Bayern, Man Utd won as expected while Benfica drew with Basle for a voided punt.

A few developments in horse racing that of worthy of note in the past days. First, the news that Born To Sea had torn a muscle in his surprise defeat to Nephrite last Sunday. If that injury hampered the son of Urban Sea in any way, then there's hope that his defeat wasn't due to a lack of talent; he might still be able to give justice to the high opinion of him by the racing world, primarily due to his regal pedigree. After Sunday, his stock had taken a beating and his ante-post odds for next year's Guineas shot up from 6's to the current 14's. While I am not a fan of such markets, serious ante-post punters would be hard-pressed to find better value and might want a crack; if he stays healthy, this horse can become a serious miler next year, in my opinion.

The Breeders Cup starts on Friday with a very competitive card, but the main races of interest are really run on Saturday. At this point, I am at a loss as to why there is a such a strong interest in Strong Suit in the BC Mile. He's got the poorest of draws, he's far from a proven Group 1 winner, he's unproven on the 2-turn track, and he's going to encounter mighty Goldikova. To top it all, he was unable to train properly today along with some other English raiders, resulting in the top-headline drama between the track officials and some English trainers. To me, Strong Suit is a big lay for the Win. Goldikova will certainly beat him in any match-bet, in my opinion. I will wait for tomorrow's events to draw confirmation on all this, but I really think opposing the Hannon star would be rewarding on Saturday.

Champions League Wednesday

2011-11-01T14:25:00.000-07:00

What a thrilling Melbourne Cup that was. Like many, I thought Americain stayed way too far and should have won that race. But credit to the winner Dunaden for digging deep when it looked like Red Cadeaux had it in the bag.

Still on the racing front, the stall draws for the Breeders Cup were made on Monday, and Goldikova was granted the No 1 rail. There is no doubt that this plays greatly in her favour. She can be tucked in her usual stalking position and provided she does not get boxed in or suffers from a novice pilot error, she should be poised to make the difference in the straight. At this point, my confidence in her to win No.4 BC Turf Mile has greatly increased with her draw.

Wednesday night is another round of Champions League football and I like Bayern Munich as they host Napoli. The Germans are very difficult to break down at the Olympic stadium and Napoli just does not have the team or European pedigree to cause an upset in Germany. I recommend Bayern as a draw-no-bet.

Benfica play host to Basel and I cannot see the Swiss causing an upset there. Benfica are strong at home and unless they misfire, they should be taking 3 points out of this contest. I recommend them as a safe draw-no-bet. In the same group, Man Utd play Otelul which they beat, albeit with difficulty, in Romania. The Red Devils are not in great form but they should still have too much class and firepower for the Romanians. The return of Tom Cleverley will do wonders for their midfield, in my opinion, as their play seems to be more dynamic with him. Man Utd is recommended as a draw-no-bet as well.

Draw-no-bet: Bayern Munich, Benfica, Man Utd

November thrill

2011-10-31T07:41:00.000-07:00

Glorious week-end with all 7 recommendations delivering; Man City, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Man Utd, Tottenham and Real Madrid all won, and Born To Sea was placed second.

Hardly anything changed atop the major league standings as the leading teams ensured the statu quo by overcoming inferior opposition; Man Utd had arguably the toughest assignment away to Everton and managed to squeeze a win.

In racing, Born To Sea suffered defeat in what would have been a little shocking to some. But it must be said that winner Nephrite looks every bit a horse to take seriously from now on, having racked 2 wins in as many races. This bodes very well for next year. It is obviously premature to have any good inkling on how next year's 2000 Guineas is going to pan out; horses change considerably during the winter and some progress more than the rest. So despite Born To Sea's comprehensive defeat on Sunday, it would be folly to dismiss him for next spring's Classic showpiece. The form certainly gets reset for all at the start of next season.

This week in racing looks tremendous with the Melbourne Cup and the countdown to the Breeders Cup taking major attention. I had the most thrilling time as a punter in the Melbourne Cup 2004 when Zazzman came out 3rd; I had it Placed at 45/1, one minute before the gates opened! The great thing about this race is that even the lesser-fancied horses at 25/1 cannot be dismissed when analyzing the field; they can easily be prominent at the finish. The race that stops a nation looks wide open this year. Obviously, Americain could easily retain his crown if he repeats last year's form. Maybe Godolphin can finally remove a hurdle from their resume by winning one of the races they covet the most. I'll be watching as a pure racing spectacle.

Then, there's the lead-up to the Breeders Cup, the designated world championship of horse racing. Hopefully, there won't be any last-minute drama and preparations go smoothly for all. All eyes will be on Goldikova, who at this point looks to me a great Win prospect. But I will get to it in due time. In the Classic, So You Think will try the unknown in hope, while Uncle Mo carries the expectations of the American crowd.

In football, it's another interesting round of the Champions League, where there is bound to be some good value recommendations on the table. A great and busy week in sports, no complaints!

Week-end preview

2011-10-28T13:10:00.000-07:00

Fa'iz placed third but Zabeel Park seemed to have suffered a setback on her return and was eased two furlongs from home. Frustrating to lose on Zabeel Park as she seemed to be right in the mix of things until her problem. There's no denying there's an element of risk when backing horses returning from such a long layoff.

The week-end's racing is polarized by the possible outing of Born To Sea in the Killavullan Group 3 race in Leopardstown. The three-parts brother to Sea The Stars was mightily impressive when winning on his debut in a listed race. The talent from the family blue blood is clearly there. The vibes from trainer John Oxx are very good, so if the more-than-softish ground does not prevent him from running, it's hard to see him finishing out of the places. I recommend him as a strong each-way punt.

In football, Man City are set to keep on their wining ways as they host Wolves, who they happen to have beaten in the Carling Cup in mid-week. The main guns like Silva and Aguero look set to start and pile more misery on Mc Carthy's men. It's hard to see anything other than a Win for City, and it is the recommendation.

Man Utd face a tougher task going to Everton and Goodison Park is always a tough place to grab 3 points. Everton have injury problems and had a tough long game in midweek against Chelsea. I don't expect the Red Devils to lose this game, but they might not win it either. I recommend them as a draw-no-bet.

Tottenham host QPR in a London derby and I can't see Neil Warnock's men repeating last week's victory against Chelsea. Spurs are solid at home while QPR's main points have also been garnered in the comforts of home. Tottenham are a strong draw-no-bet candidate and this punt is my recommendation.

In Spain, Barcelona host Mallorca in what should be a straightforward contest. Expect Messi to score a bundle to attone for last week-end's penalty miss, in my opinion. Barcelona is a straight Win recommendation. Real Madrid travel to Real Sociedad with full of confidence and all guns blazing. It would be shocking if The Los Blancos were to lose this game. They should win it and in case they misfire, should at least come up with a point. A draw-no-bet on Mourinho's men is recommended.

In Germany, Bayern Munich are hosts to Nurnberg and will clearly look for 3 points. The gulf in class between the 2 teams is clearly evident and Munich should clearly win this. A Win on the hosts is recommended.

Win: Man City, Barcelona, Bayern Munich

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd, Tottenham, Real Madrid

Each-way: Born To Sea

Follow the Blues

2011-10-27T12:36:00.000-07:00

Godolphin is enjoying some really good form with its juveniles and looking at the Newmarket card on Friday, this looks set to continue.

In the 13:50 Maiden race, Fa'iz stands a good chance to finally break his duck after 4 attempts. The son of Dansili has been second in his last 3 races and will only be facing moderate company tomorrow. However, as I mentioned many times before, there are some horse types that always seem to be at the finish but always find one better every time. This might be down to bad luck or just plain lack of fighting spirit. He might not win, but he should definitely be in the first 3 among this lot, so I put a Place recommendation on him.

In the 16:45 Conditions race, I like Zabeel Park, who's coming off a 454-day layoff. Provided that the team in blue has this Medicean filly in a fit shape after this long spell on the sidelines, she should play a major role in this race. I see her finishing in the first 2 and recommend her as an each-way punt.

Each-way: Zabeel Park

Place: Fa'iz.

Al Zarooni v/s Bin Suroor - a tale of 2 performances

2011-10-26T13:54:00.000-07:00

Real Madrid are just running riot against overwhelmed Villareal, and unless the second half shows a change of cataclysmic proportions, this is going to be an easy good recommendation on the Los Blancos.

The general observation over the past years has been that many juveniles that showed great promise in grooming stables such as those of Mark Johnston and Andre Fabre, became flops when they joined the parent Godolphin operation. Many other potentially good 2-year olds that were outright acquired at a high price from other stables also did not do themselves justice once they joined the Dubai stable. Fingers were mainly pointed at trainer bin Suroor (BS) for not only failing to bring on the newcomers properly, but also for wrecking their careers as well.

This year, Sheikh Mo decided to go with 2 trainers and gave his confidence to Al Zarooni (AZ), who was attributed about half the stable and a load of new 2-year olds as well. The results so far are astonishing to say the least. I look at the trainer statistics on the Racing Post today and the numbers don't lie;

Mahmood Al Zarooni 78–389 20% 51 46 46 £1,455,771 £1,839,382 +131.61
Saeed Bin Suroor 48–343 14% 56 40 39 £418,305 £819,341 -112.66

Al Zarooni beats the bin Suroor in every single category. The story so far is that while AZ was winning prestigious Group 1's at Royal Ascot on high-class Rewilding, BS was tasting Group 1 glory in lesser-fancied places like Italy or Germany with old stalwarts like Campanologist! The likes of Blue Bunting and Rewilding that have carried the flag proud for Godolphin this year have all been under the care of AZ.

It is arguable that AZ's dominance can be attributed to the fact he was given the better crop of horses than bin Suroor this year. Only the insiders of the stable would know that for sure. But his better strike rate also demonstrates that he is more likely to get the horses spot-on when he readies them for a race, than his counter-part.

It is worth of note that Godolphin used to command a strong contingent running Stateside under the care of BS. This year, their incursions on that side of the point has been rather tepid relative to previous years. There is no doubt that bin Suroor's influence has diminished on that ground as well.

Whether these are the results of Godolphin politics or Sheihkh Mo's decisions, it will be interesting to see how all this folds out. The main interest for a punter is that when you look at a racing card, check the trainer first. In these current times, the odds are that an AZ-trained horse will give a better performance than a BS-trained one.

Real is on a tear

2011-10-25T12:57:00.000-07:00

It's hard to overlook Real Madrid as they host Villareal on La Liga's Wednesday match.

Mourinho's men are in great form having won all their games since their shocking loss to Levante in the early weeks of the season. Ronaldo has started scoring again, the team and coach are virtually un-beatable at home, and the Yellow Submarine are currently struggling immensely and are a shadow of their former selves. I can't see any reason how Madrid can lose this game. They should be winning and go atop the table again. A draw-no-bet is a certainty but the rewards for taking some minimal calculated risk for the Win might be worth it.

Win: Real Madrid

Change of guard

2011-10-24T08:03:00.000-07:00

It would have been a great week-end with Tottenham and Real Madrid winning, and Liverpool and Barcelona drawing on draw-no-bets, but the Man Utd recommendation went awry. Man City went to Old Trafford and conquered big time.

Obviously, the score is very flattering for City but the game changer was Johnny Evans' dismissal. The Citizens played well and possibly could have won even without the central defender's sending off. More than the 3 points, this victory will also have given a tremendous mental boost to Mancini's men, raising their belief that they can hit it off with the best.They are clearly in the driver's seat and if they keep their head straight without being distracted by the off-field antics of some of their rogue players, they will be hard to dislodge at the top.

On the Red Devils' side, the defensive partnership of Ferdinand and Evans is possibly a recipe destined for disaster. At 32, Rio is past his best and the string of injuries that have beset him for the past 2 years are clearly taking a toll on his fitness for the rigours of the Premier League. He's still got some class in his play but not the elite and dominating player he once was. As for Evans, he's the weak link of the whole Man Utd team. A team sheet with Evans at the center of defence is a delight for opposing strikers out there. Next time Evans is in the starting eleven against a credible opponent, think twice before loading up on Man Utd, in my opinion.

Tottenham's winner at Blackburn was a fantastic result for this blog's predictions, and Blackburn certainly looks to be playing a major role at the bottom of the table, in my opinion.

In La Liga, Real Madrid jumped to the head of the pack by expectedly thrashing Malaga. I feel they are on a good winning run. Barcelona lost 2 important points by drawing against Sevilla. It remains to be seen if Messi's penalty miss in injury time could prove disastrous for them at the end of the season. The thing is, Messi always seems to be aiming for the same spot for most of this penalties and Sevilla's keeper played the probability game to great effect.

In racing, yet another Montjeu winner in the Racing Post Trophy as Camelot came out an easy winner in a small field. Weak field too, I should add. The previous editions of the race certainly were more competitive paper-wise and involved better-seasoned juveniles. So it is too early to gauge the real merits of Camelot, who nevertheless looks a smart sort. It would certainly be folly to have any sort of ante-post punt on him for next year's Guineas or Derby.

Manchester Derby and Football preview

2011-10-21T08:23:00.000-07:00

Rennes and Celtic drew for a voided recommendation.

An absolutely juicy week-end of football coming up with the Manchester Derby as the main attraction. This is really a 6-point game and whoever draws first blood will seemingly have the mental advantage going forward. Both teams played and won in mid-week so the recuperation time will be about the same for both. I've got to give the edge on the hosts on this one because their form at home is rock-solid. There is no-one better than Sir Alex Ferguson to get them pumped up for such a match against their neighbours. If City were to win this game, it will definitely signal the start of a new world order in English football. But I don't think it will happen for the Citizen on Saturday and I see the Red Devils either winning or drawing this game. I recommend them as draw-no-bet.

Liverpool boasts strong form at Anfield and the visit of Norwich is a great chance for them to bag the 3 points. I have a feeling Suarez will be in his element against the smaller opposition and I cannot see Liverpool losing this game. I recommend them as a strong draw-no-bet.

I mentioned before that Blackburn is a very exposed team that will be losing many games this year. I anticipate another difficult game for them at home against a surging Tottenham team. Spurs will have a decimated defence going to Ewood Park but their offence should prove too potent for the hosts. Harry Redknapp's men might feel from the exertions of the mid-week European game against Rubin Kazan but their big guns were mainly rested, so they should be ready to fire on Sunday. Tottenham is recommended as draw-no-bet.

I am expecting challenging games for Barcelona and Real Madrid in La Liga. Barcelona host Sevilla which have yet to taste defeat this year in 7 games. I don't think the hosts will lose but I anticipate the game to be evenly-contested for most of the 90 minutes. It won't be a walk in the park for Guardiola's men because Sevilla are no push-overs. Still the hosts should prevail or come up with a point, so they are recommended as a draw-no-bet.

Real Madrid face an arguably easier task than Barcelona as they travel to Malaga, a team that has started the campaign quite brightly and sitting in 6th. Their spending on good players like Joaquin and Cazorla are reaping benefits. However, the Los Blancos are in very good form of late and seem to have picked up a notch after having lost 5 points in the early weeks of the campaign. As such, it's very hard to oppose them. They should win this game or at least come up with a point. Mourinho's men are recommended as a draw-no-bet as well.

Draw-no-bet: Real Madrid, Barcelona, Man Utd, Liverpool, Tottenham

Europa League Thursday

2011-10-19T13:52:00.000-07:00

3 winning recommendation as Barcelona and Chelsea won, Tortoni placed second beaten a nose, and Porto drew at home for a voided punt. Draw-no-bets are just a great invention, in my estimation.

On Thursday, the Europa League matches take the attention and currently-struggling Celtic visit French club Rennes. I have mentioned many times before that the current level of Scottish football is weak. The likes of Celtic and Rangers are not up to far with their predecessors. Celtic is a big name in European football and they can elevate their game on such occasions but it would be a surprise for me if Neil Lennon's men were to grab the 3 points in France. Rennes are on a good run in their domestic league and they have excellent form at home. I see the French side either winning or drawing this, so I recommend them as a draw-no-bet.

Draw-no-bet: Rennes

Wednesday football and racing

2011-10-18T13:58:00.000-07:00

Man Utd and Real Madrid both won and make their leaps towards the next stage. It was not all plain-sailing for the Red Devils against a composed Galati side but in the end their class prevailed. It will be interesting to see how the absence of Vidic due to his red card plays out in the next matches. In the other matches, Man City got the taste of winning in Europe's premier competition by beating Villareal in the last minute. Aguero is just fulfilling in every expectation of him so far for the Citizens as he snatched the winning goal.

On Wednesday, Chelsea hosts Racing Genk and I cannot see the Belgians winning at the Bridge. I still have reservations about the genuine quality of this Chelsea side, so I recommend them as a draw-no-bet. Porto are very strong at home and they shouldn't lose to Nicosia; I recommend them as draw-no-bet as well.

The only certainty at home is Barcelona as they host Viktoria.They should win this by a few goals, so they are recommended as a straight win.

In racing, the 19:20 race at Kempton looks an ideal opportunity for Tortoni to break his maiden. The Teofilo colt has gone close in 4 of his 5 starts and he's expected to be a serious contender in this rather weak race. I cannot see him out of the first 2 so I recommend him as a Place.

Win: Barcelona
Draw-no-bet: Chelsea, Porto
Place: Tortoni

Champions League Tuesday

2011-10-17T21:14:00.000-07:00

Glorious week-end where just about everything hit the board. In racing, Frankel was again his outstanding self and won with authority. Opinion Poll validated the confidence of a Place recommendation by finishing second to Fame and Glory. I mentioned So You Think will run good but wouldn't win. The way winner Cirrus des Aigles caught him in the final 50 yards suggests strongly that he was feeling the exertions in the Arc 13 days ago.

In football, Man City, Arsenal, Barcelona, Real Madrid all won and QPR drew with Blackburn for a voided punt. The fact that the Gunners had to resort to a free-kick in the last 10 minutes to overcome Sunderland at home shows that this is really a team in transition and much weaker than the previous editions. I cannot see them winning anything again this year, unless the other top teams allow them the Carling Cup.

On Tuesday, it's back to Champions League matches, and it is certain that Man Utd and Real Madrid won't lose their matches; in fact, I see both of them winning. It's a must win game for The Red Devils who have drawn their first 2 matches of the group. Losing points to the Romanian outfit Galati will spell trouble for them. The match will be played in a neutral avenue, so clearly Man Utd should outclass the opposition. They are recommended as a win.

All indications are that Real Madrid win beat Lyon; they are nearly flawless at home and Lyon hasn't been able to have their measure in the confrontations of the past years. Knowing his opponents well and posting ever solid results at home, Mourinho should get the tactics right to overcome the French. Real Madrid is recommended to win.

Win: Real Madrid, Man Utd

All about Frankel

2011-10-14T12:15:00.000-07:00

Wadha was a disappointing third but Final Delivery was a good-placed second.

A terrific week-end of horse racing and football coming up.

It's Champions Day at Ascot where all eyes will be on Frankel, the greatest thoroughbred in the eyes of many. All reports seem to indicate that he's on top of his game, thus he should win. I think he will win. A big win recommendation. The one that can come close is Excelebration, which should be a good Place punt for those that fancy looking at the rest of the field besides the Henry Cecil colt.

I've always favoured So You Think in each of his European outings. I think he will get turned over tomorrow because the race comes too soon for him after the Arc. If this race were one week later, I would give him a great chance, but as is, I think he'll run a good race but won't win against seasoned and well-rested horses. Just my opinion. I wished he bypassed this race and went straight to the BC Classic. It looks the connections want to go for both, and I feel it's a case where they won't get the best of the horse in either race. Time and results will tell if I am right or not.

I like Opinion Poll in the Long Distance Cup. This Godolphin colt always gives his best and has a great partnership with Dettori. He is recommended as a Place.

In football, it's the big clash between Liverpool and Man Utd. The rivalry has somewhat faded in recent years because of the demise of the Reds, but it is bound to be a well-contested match. Liverpool have the home advantage but this can really go either way. Man City is recommended as a draw-no-bet as I cannot see them losing to visiting Aston Villa. I think QPR is the best draw-no-bet of the week-end as it hosts Blackburn. Neil Warnock's men are tough to overcome at home and should give Blackburn all they can handle. Arsenal is another good draw-no-bet as it hosts struggling Sunderland.

In Spain, Real Madrid and Barcelona should win their home matches against Betis and Santander respectively. Real Betis started with a bang but have lost their last 2 matches. It is more a case of back to the earth for them. Real Madrid and Barcelona are recommended as straight home wins.

Win: Frankel, Barcelona, Real Madrid
Place: Opinion Poll

Redcar Friday

2011-10-13T16:38:00.000-07:00

Hope some of you lumped on Expert Fighter who warranted the following by scoring handily at Brighton. He was at least 4/1 or longer on the exchanges since yesterday.

Godolphin is on fire and on Friday, another of its maiden fillies Wadha should win in the 16:55 race at Redcar. There's every guarantee that she will be in the first 3 but it is worth going with a straight win punt on this Cape Cross filly. So the recommendation is for her to win.

In the 15:45 mile race, I like Final Delivery from the Botti stable. He finished 3rd in his last 2 outings and although I am not too keen on his sire Three Valleys, he is the pick of the race on form among this exposed lot. e should be in the first 3 so I recommend him as a Place punt.

Win: Wadha

Place: Final Delivery

Brighton Thursday

2011-10-12T13:29:00.000-07:00

Rather disappointing Wednesday racing results with Available beaten into 4th. The Hannon filly kept on and it seems she would have been better suited on a longer trip but the winner was too good on the day, stretching by 6 lengths at the finish. Enery came out second, a race where he travelled 3-wide the length of the Lingfield oval. His chances of winning were gone before the start when he unseated rider Buick and got loose! He bravely kept on to finish second and is one to follow on his next outing. The third selection, Blanc de Chine was a scratch.

On Thursday, I will keep faith in another Godolphin colt in Expert Fighter in the 15:30 Maiden race at Brighton. He came out 7th on his debut, beating Mojave, another Godolphin representation who won yesterday. I believe he should be in the first 3 in this modest contest. Since he hasn't proven anything yet, there is an element of risk in backing him, but for those that fancy a potentially rewarding punt, going with Expert Fighter as a Place or each-way might be worth it.

Wednesday racing

2011-10-11T13:51:00.000-07:00

No surprises as Turkey, Italy, Spain and Russia all won their last game at home.

Back to racing on Wednesday where I believe the first race at Lingfield should go to Enery from the red-hot Godolphin stable. This Teofilo colt was a staying-on second in his last race 9 days ago and he should set the standard in this average field. The distance will suit and he's recommended as an each-way punt.

In the first race at Nottingham, Blanc de Chine makes a lot of appeal, having come out second in his last 2 races. The 5 furlong distance is just about right for this Dark Angel filly and it is a case of whether she's win this, or come out second again. I recommend her as a Place.

At Kempton, the Maiden stakes race at 19:10 should enable Available to break her duck at the second time of asking. This filly from the all-conquering Hannon stable was a very encouraging fourth on her debut, and the drop to 6 furlongs looks to be at her advantage.The field is average so she's recommended as a Win.

Win: Available

Each-way: Enery

Place: Blanc de Chine

Euro 2012 - Last round.

2011-10-10T19:34:00.000-07:00

A perfect week-end of punts as Strong Suit and Gio Ponti won while Power came in a good second.

On Tuesday, the last round of matches for Euro 2012 come to the fore and there are still some nations awaiting to secure their place in the finals; the biggest match probably being between Portugal and Denmark. An Euro competition without Christiano Ronaldo would be quite something, not just for international football in general, but also for the player himself. If that were the case, maybe a good dose of humility will finally tap into this player, whose customary declarations are always about how good he is. Anyway, this match can go either way, so may the best nation win and qualify.

Among the other matches, I see Turkey beating Azerbaijan, Russia will no doubt beat Andorra to secure first spot. Already-qualified Italy will still beat the hopelessly bad Northern Ireland. Spain also has its tickets booked to the finals and should overcome Scotland, whose hopes are just hanging on a thread. All the hosts mentioned above are recommended to win.

Win: Turkey, Russia, Italy, Spain

Week-end racing

2011-10-07T17:58:00.000-07:00

England drew and qualified for the Euro 2012, but the main talking point of the game was Rooney's red card. Does anyone wonder why England hasn't won something of note for a long time? It has brilliant players like Beckham, Rooney, yet when the chips are down, the brilliance turns into stupidity. Rooney's red against Montenegro was not as serious as Beckham's red against Argentina, or the same Rooney's red against Portugal, but it outlined the same problem again. Americans call them chokers when their sports stars screw up under pressure. This is worst than choking, it is plain idiocy.

Manager Capello calling Rooney fit to play mentally has to be one of the worst public managerial calls. It was a bold decision for him to make and say, and boy was he ever proven wrong in front of skeptics who rightfully questioned the state of the player following his dad's arrest 24 hours earlier, ironically, for a betting scam involving a red card. Really, the petulant striker's sending off was really written somewhere out there!

This week-end is all about racing with club football leaving the centre stage to the Euro qualifiers until next week. On Saturday, I like Strong Suit's chances in the first race at Newmarket. He's clearly the class of the race and will sport a penalty in this rather weak Group 2 contest. This colt from the Hannon stable is definitely better since his wind operation and he should definitely be in the first 3. I recommend him as an each-way.

The Dewhurst is the main race on the Newmarket race card and Power is the deserving favourite having bagged 4 wins out of 5, including 2 strong Group races in the National Stakes and Coventry Stakes. If Ryan Moore is close to his best abilities after his long layoff, he should have no problem steering the Oasis Dream colt in the first 3. The main opponents look to be the unbeaten Bronterre and Ektihaam, both of whom are stepping up in class for the first time. A Place on Power is the recommendation.

Finally, Gio Ponti runs in the Group 1 Shadwell Turf Mile at Keenland, U.S. The 2-time U.S turf champion is looking for his first win of the year after good runner-up efforts in his last 2 races. Although now six, the Tale of the Cat colt is still one of the leading runners at a mile and over in the U.S on turf. He always gives the best account of himself, so can never be disregarded. The race has also attracted Zoffany from the Ballydoyle stable. If he's anywhere close to his best, Gio Ponti should win this. Even if one of the younger brigade were to usurp him, he should still be in the first 3. I recommend him as a strong Place.

Place: Power, Gio Ponti
Each-way: Strong Suit.

England to go through

2011-10-06T14:01:00.000-07:00

Never Perfect won, continuing the good racing streak.

On Friday, as I was mentioning a few posts back, I like England to go secure its qualification in Montenegro. Capello's men are certainly more relaxed on their road travels than at Wembley and the current team looks solid. The only negative is today's developments about Rooney's father and uncle being seriously accused of betting fraud. How that plays on the mind of England's best player remains to be seen. Their opponents look to be resting a few key players for their next and last game against Switzerland, so as to still keep their chances of progressing intact in case of defeat. After a dull draw at home in the first leg, England will not get a better chance to beat their surging opponents in Podgorica. England as draw-no-bet is the recommendation.

Draw-no-bet: England

Ayr Thursday

2011-10-05T13:16:00.000-07:00

The jockey championship race is getting more animated with long-time leader Paul Hanagan feeling the heat from the surging Kieran Fallon and de Sousa. That looks set for a great finale in a few weeks time. Certainly one way to look at the race-cards would be to look for those 3 names and try to pick out their best chances every day. I don't have any statistics to back this up, but these challengers are bound to have the busiest schedule till the end as their agents work round the clock to obtain the maximum number of good rides possible. Sort of banking on quantity so as to increase and maximize the number of wins.

None of the three are involved in the first race at Ayr on Thursday, where I expect the Galileo colt Never Perfect to give a good account of himself. The field is very average and Never Perfect had a very encouraging debut a little more than a month ago, finishing 4th of 10, around 4 lengths off the winner. If he's gotten the improvement he's been entitled to since that race, he should be among the finishers. Jamie Spencer riding should be a plus, and I recommend his mount as an each-way punt.

Each-way: Never Perfect

Countdown

2011-10-04T16:33:00.000-07:00

Not a week to crow about in terms of horse racing and football as we await the return of Frankel in the QE II Stakes and the Montenegro-England match for the European qualifiers on Friday.

Today got the news that Excelebration looks to take on Frankel again after being beaten twice by the superstar miler. In fact, these were his only 2 defeats this year. To me, the colt from the Botti stable is one of the 4 best milers in the world. He's very progressive and looks to be the main danger to Frankel, if ever there is one. I am not a fan of ante-post by any measure, but ante-post lovers must surely be having a strong Place consideration on Excelebration. He looks to be in the first 3, but won't beat Frankel.

I'm just hoping for a case of "no news, good news" from the England camp; i.e, they don't suffer any injury setback in the coming days for their match against Montenegro. If they go there injury-free, I have every reason to think that they will book their ticket to the finals by either winning or drawing. That's the way I'm aiming my big punt, so, just hoping for uneventful developments on that side.

Musings on the Arc

2011-10-03T10:28:00.000-07:00

On Friday, Mundana won for a good recommendation.

The result of this Sunday's Arc was a mixed tale of "I never saw that coming" and "As I thought" altogether for me. Although she was supplemented for the race, I did not think Danedream had the class to win. I took it on the account that her form in Germany was good but not strong enough to make a difference. I was wrong. She just destroyed the field and has to be considered in her future races. I am a big fan of German breeding as they put a lot of emphasis on the horse soundness, unlike in the U.S, and they have proven that their stock should not be taken lightly. Think Monsun, Lomitas. Very potent indeed.

The good second of Shareta also surprised me. Definitely one filly to follow as she literally was the one leading the pack, not counting the inexplicable suidical rabbit race of Treasure Beach. That she resisted the assaults of the rest of the pack shows her temerity.

Now for the ones I saw coming. Snow Fairy finished third, running her race as I had hoped. I did not give much chance to Reliable Man, Meandre, Galikova, all 3 big names from the French 3-year old crop and they were never into contention. I wished I had laid them big.

Now for the ugly. I mentioned the fear of pilot error on So You Think and it unfortunately materialized. Heffernan obviously let him with too much to do by staying so far back in the race. I don't think he would have won anyway, but he definitely would have been much closer to the winner if he had been ridden in a stalking position. Some would say that his wide draw made him sit back. The way this horse travels, it just seems better to have him up with the pace as he does not have the turn of foot to come from so far behind. Anyway, pointless to try to analyze this further, blame it on team tactics or the choice of Heffernan as rider for such a big race.

It gets uglier with Treasure Beach. A rather pitiful scene to see a Derby winner and proven Group 1 winner being confined to the role of pacemaker. Yet another talented horse being destroyed and reduced to a secondary role by Aidan O'Brien, the Ballydoyle master. Hopefully Mike de Kock has seen this and making his way to buying another Coolmore reject. Think Eagle Mountain, Archipenko, Golden Sword, King of Rome... the list of converts is not a short one.

Anyway, the Arc 2011 is gone and there is no point furthering the analysis or trying to understand the mind of the Ballydoyle trainer. I acknowledge he's very good, but there are times where he does things that border on the ridiculous. "So You Think would have no problem with the dirt surface in the Breeders Classic", he intimated. Don't get me wrong, I would love it if he relished the ground there and won America's premier championship race. The problem is how can someone infer such a thing when the horse never ran on dirt either in training or on a race-track? It comes from the same person that said that SYT might not get the 12 furlong distance of the Arc, after nearly winning the 16f Melbourne Cup? Just my opinion, but he seems to take delight making us think the moon is made of green cheese.

The Arc 2011 - History beckons for So You Think

2011-09-30T19:37:00.000-07:00

The Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is the greatest and most prestigious of all races, in my opinion. For others, it is the Epsom Derby, the Kentucky Derby, the Dubai World Cup, the Breeders Cup Classic, or the Melbourne Cup, but the Arc is my favourite, from a pure racing point of view. The best horse of the race almost always wins. And it's usually the best horse in the world at the classic mile and a half distance.

This year's Arc is one of the most open in recent years, with no clear front-runner in the betting market. My opinion is if So You Think runs to his true ability, it will be a one-horse show. Here's my lowdown on the main contestants.

Sarafina is deservingly among the favourites. She came out third in last year's race the winner after being checked entering the straight. With a clear run, she would have been closer than the 2 lengths she finished off the winner. This year, she has been drawn in the 13th stall, which is a very bad draw, but since she comes from off the pace, that disadvantage will be negligible. She's in top form according to her trainer and I see her being among the strong finishers although seeing her winning it looks to be a stretch.

Workforce is the defending champion and he certainly would have a good chance of repeating if he's on his best form. One negative is that his jockey Ryan Moore has just returned to the saddle yesterday Friday after an injury layoff and will not be at 100% of his powers. The King Best colt is not to be dismissed but he would need some luck in running to beat the opposition this year.

Snow Fairy can mix it up with the colts no problem. I consider her as one of the 3 best middle-distance distaffers in the world. Her light race schedule this year will see her being in top form on Sunday. On her last race, she gave So You Think a scare and finished a lot closer to him than I thought she would. She will be ridden by Dettori which is a plus. She looks to be a very good Place prospect.

Treasure Beach is one of the best 3 year-olds at the distance and would have won 2 Derbies were it not for the exploits of Pour Moi. The Galileo colt also won a Grade 1 in the U.S and looks an uncomplicated sort who should find no problem adapting to the Longchamp track. He must have an outside chance and if race conditions are favourable to him, he could spring an upset.

So You Think has won 4 out of 5 in his European outings and his only loss has been well documented as a self-confessed trainer error. It is striking that the same trainer is insisting that SYT is a 10-furlong horse. How can a horse that very nearly won the Melbourne Cup be treated as a 10-furlong specialist? If that's the way the horse has been trained since joining the Ballydoyle stable, most possibly due for breeding purposes, then he will not have a chance against the other seasoned stayers. Speed being the attraction nowadays, O'Brien might have gotten directives from the Coolmore brass to make SYT as the best 10f horse around. But his pedigree screams 12f, just like his sire High Chapparal. The only other question mark is the assignment of Heffernan as jockey. The Irishman is far from proven on the French track and when chips are as big as this. My take on SYT is clear; if he's not been messed about by his genius-like, yet flawed trainer, and he's not subject to a pilot error, he's going to win because he's a notch above every single horse in the race.

Of the rest of the field, Galikova is going to be great next year, but has not yet attained the level required to win this year's edition. Saint Nicholas Abbey has been mostly hype and is just not good enough. The Japanese horses are the big question mark and it would not be entirely surprising if one of them came out the winner.

My trifecta selection is So You Think, Snow Fairy, Sarafina. This is the grandest stage of all for the Australasian superstar to cement his status as one of the all-time greats.

Friday Ascot

2011-09-29T14:31:00.000-07:00

Tottenham scraped through Shamrock while Rubin Kazan could only manage a draw against Saloniki for a voided punt. The Greeks were lucky to survive the Russian onslaught.

On Friday, the 14:55 Classified Stakes at Ascot looks to go to Mundana from the Luca Cumani stable. She's a progressive King Best filly who will be well suited to the mile distance. She's bagged 2 wins out of 3 outings and will receive weight from a group of older horses with exposed form. I definitely see her finishing in the first 3 and I recommend her as a Place.

Place: Mundana

Europa League preview

2011-09-28T13:36:00.000-07:00

Barcelona easily won but I don't think anyone would have thought otherwise. The Catalan offence is really in good form, and Messi is just unplayable at the moment.

On Thursday, I have my eyes set on the Group A matches of the Europa League. Tottenham host Shamrock Rovers and I cannot see Spurs losing that one even if they are expected to field a second-tier team. The hosts have admitted to being focused on the week-end match against arch-enemies Arsenal but their reserve team should have too much class for the Irish champions. Tottenham to win it is my recommendation.

In the same group, I like Rubin Kazan's chances as it hosts the Greek team Saloniki. The Russians are a strong team and have gathered considerable experience in Europe in the past few years. I expect them to win or draw this match, so I recommend them as a good draw-no-bet.

Win: Tottenham
Draw-no-bet: Rubin Kazan

Champions League Wednesday

2011-09-27T14:02:00.000-07:00

Darn United. With 2 goals up, it was time to park the bus, but I suppose it is not in the DNA of the club to preserve the result. A very exciting game that ended 3-3 and that saved the blushes of the draw-no-bet punt I had on them. Got to give it to this young United team that fights till the end, were it not for their defensive frailties, they are almost a complete team. They are certainly getting there.

On Wednesday, the only certain punt looks to be Barcelona traveling to Borisov. Clearly, the gulf in class should ensure that the European champions get all 3 points even without playing some first-team members. They are recommended as a safe draw-no-bet. In the same group, Milan host the Czech team Viktoria. While on paper, this would appear to be a formality for the Italians, I would not be surprised if they fail to win this match. They have a depleted team and Viktoria is not a team of push-overs. There might be an offset in the offing, and it might pay to lay the heavily-favored hosts. No recommendation there, but the Italians look very exposed value-wise, in my opinion.

Draw-no-bet: Barcelona

Champions League Tuesday

2011-09-26T11:48:00.000-07:00

Very good week-end with Yasir being placed, Man City, Newcastle, Arsenal and Real Madrid all winning. Man Utd drew with Stoke for a voided punt.

Nothing extraordinary from the world of sports from this week-end to really comment on. The European big guns are firing on all cylinders atop the tables. Man Utd got a good point at La Brittania, a very difficult venue for even the big teams. Man City showed some mental toughness in wearing down Everton. A few years ago, they wouldn't have had that quality to get the 3 points out of such tough games.

In La Liga, Barcelona and Real Madrid treated themselves to goal-fests after dropping points in their last outings. I still think Mourinho has problems to solve in his Madrid squad, and Barcelona definitely need a top defender if they are to challenge on all fronts this season.

Bayern is just trouncing the opposition in the Bundesliga but the league is not a measure of the team's real strength. A more appropriate benchmark will be when they meet Man City on Tuesday's Champions League match.

In Italy, it will be interesting to see how Ranieri fares with Inter. They certainly got off to a good start by winning at Bologna. Ranieri is a very decent coach who gets good results. Unfortunately, he has shown that he can makes the odd silly mistakes that can cost his team dearly. That's what makes him not-so great.

On Tuesday, the Champions League rightfully takes centre-stage. I like Man Utd's chances at home to Basel. It will be folly for the Red Devils to under-estimate the Swiss team, particularly with the absence of Rooney. The absence of the England striker and his front partner Chicharito, certainly weaken the attacking prowess of the English champions. They should be on top at the end though, and a draw-no-bet looks safe. That's my recommendation.

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd

Week-end Preview

2011-09-23T20:59:00.000-07:00

It was far from being Really Lovely as the daughter of Galileo could only manage a 4th-place finish, out of placings. I hope this week-end gets me back on track with my selections.

The 17:25 race at Ripon looks a great spot for Yasir from the Godolphin blue to score his first win. He looks a very progressive sort who should be suited by the mile and a half distance. On his last outing, he was a fast finisher at Folkestone over the same distance and given his room for improvement, he should be tough to beat in this race. He should easily be in the first 3 in my opinion, and I recommend him as a Place. He should probably be winning this as well, but with my rotten form, I'll stick to a safe Place.

In football, there are bound to be a few surprises in the EPL although my inclination is that most of the favorites should either win or draw their games. I see Newcastle, Man Utd, Man City and Arsenal as having the best chances to bag 3 points, and are my draw-no-bet recommendations.

The Red Devils' travel to Stoke is bound to be a difficult one as proven in recent years, but they thrive in such circumstances and I think Stoke will find it difficult to cope with their speed. If Rooney and co play with the same fluidity of the past few weeks, they will be a tough team to beat. Man City looks strong on paper against Everton although I'm a little concerned that they might have an eye on the upcoming Champions League match against Bayern. A draw-no-bet should provide a safety net in case Mancini's men lack the focus to beat the Toffees.

Call me crazy but I will stick to Real Madrid for another week although they've totally did me wrong in their last 2 outings. I recommend a heavyweight recommendation on them as draw-no-bet as I cannot see them being beaten at the Bernabeu no matter what slump they are in. If they find their goalscoring touch, it might be a goal-galore game for them. They should be winning this game and have the newly-promoted pay for their last 2 uncharacteristic outings. Barcelona face an in-form Athletico Madrid team and with their defensive problems, the hosts are no certainties to have an easy night by any measure. Sure they will dominate possession and will score, but they'll have to make sure they don't leak any goals as well. I'll abstain on speculating on this one.

Place: Yasir

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd, Man City, Newcastle, Arsenal, Madrid

Pontefract Thursday

2011-09-22T04:40:00.000-07:00

Genius Step won cosily for a nice race and the Godolphin colt looks a nice sort. It will be interesting to see how he fares when step up in trip. On the other hand, Real Madrid provided more disappointment and failed to win at Santander. I would have been better inspired to have gone draw-no-bet on that one since they cannot even score against mediocre opponents. What is there to say about Madrid after these 2 lacklustre matches? Could Mourinho be losing it? We'll see.

There is a cracking card at Newmarket today but the value punt to me seems at Pontefract. In the 16.50 race, Really Lovely looks the pick of the fillies. This daughter of Galileo was a staying-on third on her last race and the mile distance will suit. Probably her main opponents will be nicely-bred debutantes Jarrah from Godolphin and El Lail from Mark Johnston's stable. I cannot see Really Lovely out of the placings, so I recommend her as a Place.

Place: Really Lovely

Real Payback

2011-09-20T13:42:00.000-07:00

Pretty busy football week on the old continent.

In the Spanish games on Wednesday, it looks hard to see Real Madrid losing 2 games in a row. They are facing a Santander team struggling in the relegation area and it's a golden opportunity for them to bag the 3 points and renew their winning ways. I recommend them as a Win. Barcelona face a trickier game at Valencia, possibly the best team in La Liga besides the 2 powerhouses. If the Blaugrana can win this match, it will be a massive 3 points. This game can go any way, so no certainties there, although Barcelona will be massive favorites particularly with Lionel Messi finding his scoring touch again.

In racing, I like Genius Step in the first race at Goodwood. The Al Zarooni team is on fire currently and this Dubawi colt makes his return to competition after a 116-day layoff. His debut was highly encouraging after a staying-on third at Newmarket. He looks the class of the race and provided the ground isn't too soft at Goodwood and he is fit enough, he should be in the first 3. My racing Place recommendation for Wednesday.

Win: Real Madrid
Place: Genius Step

Misfiring

2011-09-19T11:45:00.000-07:00

I'm misfiring in football at the moment. Barcelona crushed Osasuna, but Arsenal, Bolton and Madrid lost, while Villa and Inter drew their matches for voided punts.

Backing the Gunners at this time is a mistake. Their defence is such a shambles that punters playing the "over 1.5 goals" in their matches must be having a field day. Their back four is as permissible as their offence is potent. But yet another loss this week-end means that Wenger's position at the helm looks really in danger. There is no doubt that popular support for the Frenchman is waning by the day, and unless the club can forge out a few good results in the coming weeks, the calls for him to resign or be fired will not dampen. This is all reminiscent of his last days at Monaco years ago where the results never improved whenever he was put under that kind of pressure.

Man Utd won the week-end battle against Chelsea and are definitely on the upward curve. Sure, they got the breaks in the match and the score could be somewhat flattering, but this young team is already finding a way to win. They will only get better and better, which isn't good news for the rest of the league. While Chelsea put in a decent performance, I still think this team needs an overhaul to be considered as title challengers. This is clearly a team that is in expiry time. And the sitter missed by Torres was just unbelievable. Clear fodder for his critics and something that will certainly not boost his low confidence. Well-taken goal though.

In Spain, it was oh Madrid! Gone were their chances when Khadeira was sent off during the first half. I mentioned in my preview that the Zagreb travel could take something out of them, but I I still expected them to put a decent show and score at least one goal. Knowing that Barcelona put in 8 the previous day should have given them enough drive against Levante. It didn't, and far from it, they came up very poorly. Maybe they are not as good as I thought.

Week-end football

2011-09-16T09:50:00.000-07:00

Wakhan finished second for a winning recommendation.

I have quite a few selections for this week-end's football. In the EPL, I like Arsenal's chances as they travel to Blackburn. The Gunners are certainly a re-building team but they still have lots of quality. Rovers are one of my early picks for the drop and I cannot disagree with fans that are staging protests against their current manager. I see Arsenal taking at least a point from this travel, so I recommend them as draw-no-bet.

The best value bet of the week-end looks to be Aston Villa as they host Newcastle. I think Newcastle's excellent defensive record does not actually mirror its frailties at the back. Just looking at their last away game at QPR where they were nearly run out of the pitch and were lucky to come away with a goal-less draw. I can see Villa scoring at least one or two goals in this game. I recommend Villa as a draw-no-bet.

Bolton hosts Norwich and it's a great opportunity for the hosts to get the 3 points. Norwich is another that looks a good early candidate for the drop. Bolton as draw-no-bet is the recommendation.

In the Serie A, I like Inter Milan's chances at home to Roma. The Romans are clearly a team out of sorts and will be good fodder for Sneijder and co. The hosts are in bad need of victory after losses on opening week and in the Champions League. I recommend Inter as a draw-no-bet as well.

In Spain, it's the same boring (but rewarding) story. Barcelona will resume winning ways at home to Osasuna and are selected as Win. Real Madrid face an arguably tougher test going to Levante where they lost 2 points last season. I certainly don't see them losing this game and chances are that they will win it. Since they are coming back from a difficult away game in Zagreb, the safest option is a draw-no-bet on the Los Blancos.No surprise if they end up winning this game in the last minutes.

Win: Barcelona
Draw-no-bet: Arsenal, Aston Villa, Bolton, Inter, Real Madrid.

Listowel Preview

2011-09-15T14:18:00.000-07:00

Following Real Madrid proved rewarding again while Man Utd came up with a draw for a voided punt. I am waiting for the week-end to back those teams again, but I'll get there in due course.

On Friday, I like Wakhan in the 15:50 race at Listowel. This Dalakhani gelding makes his return to the racetrack after a 124-day absence after two encouraging seconds early this year. The mile and a half distance shouldn't be a problem, the only worry being the soft/heavy conditions that could expose any lack of fitness on his part. The opposition looks to be headed by Mutasharef and Smithfield which are both rated at 78. If fully wound-up, Wakhan should take this, but because of his 4 month lay-off and ground conditions, I would go for the safer option and recommend him as a Place.

Place: Wakhan

Champions League Wednesday

2011-09-14T10:35:00.000-07:00

Draw-no-bets are great as they can save the wallet whenever a certain win gets smashed into a draw, just like in the case of the Barcelona v/s Milan match. Amazing that a team like Barcelona does not have proper backups to centre-halfs Puyol and Pique. If these are missing from their upcoming visit to Madrid in a few weeks time, the result will only go one way, as defensive midfielders Mascherano and Busquets clearly form a porous defensive pair at best.

I was mentioning that yesterday's CL games would be mouth-watering for draw purists. Four out of the 8 matches ended up drawn, so the 0.5 ratio means that was a fantastic night for picking draws.

I see Real Madrid and Man Utd winning their respective matches against Dynamo Zagreb and Benfica tonight. Mourinho's men should be too strong for the Croatians and I recommend them as outright win. It will probably be tougher for the Red Devils during their visit to Portugal. Still, they have an impressive away record in the Champions League in the past few years and they are in great form, so I find it hard for them to get beat. I recommend them as a strong draw-no-bet.

Win: Real Madrid

Draw-no-bet: Man Utd

Champions League start

2011-09-13T08:00:00.000-07:00

Djokovic is just a monster. I cannot think of a more dominant athlete in a sport today than Nole. Arguably his 3 slam victories this year typifies an even greater domination than Tiger's 3 slams a few years back since he's only lost 2 matches the whole year! It's back to the drawing board for Rafa. Nole owns him right now.

Today is the start of a new Champions League season, which seems to grow in bounds of significance from year to year. It seems every player's dream every year is not to win the domestic title but to win the European Cup. Today's matches look to be very close and there could be a flurry of drawn matches. I don't think Barcelona is assured of a win against visiting Milan since it's still got a depleted defence which the Italians could exploit; a draw-no-bet on the Blaugrana looks the safer option and is recommended. Arsenal and Chelsea will have difficult nights against German opponents Dortmund and Leverkusen respectively and those matches can go either way in my opinion. Draw purists will love tonight's fixtures.

Draw-no-bet: Barcelona.

Nadal is worth a look

2011-09-12T08:21:00.000-07:00

Possibly the worst week-end of selections since I started this blog with 4 of the 9 recommendations biting the dust. In football, Arsenal, Madrid, Bayern and Man City won, but Barcelona failed to beat Sociedad in a farcical second-half and Dortmund were stunned at home to Hertha. Fulham drew at home against Blackburn for a void punt. Blue Bunting and Fame and Glory were disappointing in their St Leger races and it looks that they deserve a good rest after a long season.

It was business as usual in the Premier League where the Manchester teams are setting up a torrid pace at the back. Rooney and Aguero are arguably the best 2 strikers in the world at the moment and each bagged a hat-trick. Arsenal beat Swansea by the minimum of margins as they work on integrating the new players that have come during the transfer deadline. Chelsea won as well but one cannot help but feel it's not all harmony among the players. Torres is making the headlines for the wrong reasons again today as the club is publicly acknowledging that an internal investigation is under-way to verify his non-flattering comments about his "old" and "slow" team-mates in a Spanish interview. Quite unprecedented really! Usually, it's a "we do not comment" statement that emanates from clubs in such circumstances, and this openness in singling out the player means that the failed Spaniard striker is quite in trouble.

In Spain, it's first blood to Real Madrid as they take 2 precious points ahead of Barcelona during week 2. The dropped points might come back to haunt the Blaugrana at the end. The season is a long, but I sense that Madrid are the hungrier team among the two. It's hard to see Mourinho's men losing points against second-tier teams like Barcelona on Saturday. The fact that they have the lead will certainly steer them in good stead mentally as well.

In a few hours will be the US Open final between Djokovic and Nadal. I cannot help but feel that Nadal will find a way to win this. Sure he's been beaten by the Serb so many times this year. Clearly, these are the 2 best players in the world. The fact that Nole faced 2 match points against the regressive Federer seems to signal that he can be made vulnerable by the stronger Spaniard. Djokovic is the deserving favourite because of what he's achieved throughout the year, but Nadal looks great value at 1.5/1. To value punters, I recommend him. No guarantees, but with Nadal, you very rarely can go wrong.

Week-end Preview

2011-09-09T12:22:00.000-07:00

Opinion Poll justified the Place recommendation and was a game second in the Doncaster Cup. Saddler's Rock from John Oxx's stable was just too good but the Godolphin colt gave it his best, as usual.

Inqdah, who I had mentioned had a great pedigree, came up 6th on his debut, some 3 lengths off the winner. Not too bad for a debutant who ran very green. Definitely one to watch out on his next outing.

On Saturday, Sea Moon and Blue Bunting are justifiably the market leaders for this year's St Leger. I think it will go to either one of the two. Blue Bunting looks to be the value Place bet, so that's my recommendation.

I think Fame and Glory has a really great chance in the Irish version. Although he was last beaten by Fictional Account, whom he's facing again, he's clearly the class of the race and should have no problem with the trip. An each-way looks to be a safe recommendation on him, while those fancying some risk could go for the outright win as well.

Football-wise, the players resume their club activities this week-end after their national duties. Arsenal is prime to finally kick-start its season as it hosts Swansea. This should be a straight win for the Gunners and I recommend them as an outright win. Manchester City look to have an easy game against Wigan on paper but the Latics are proving to be a tough team to break down. Still, I can't see City losing this game, so Mancini's men are recommended as a sure draw-no-bet.

In my opinion, Blackburn look set to fighting in the relegation zone this season and they will struggle during their visit to Fulham. Fulham as draw-no-bet looks good value to me and is recommended.

In Spain, I expect a big win from Real Madrid as it hosts Getafe. Straight win recommended for Mourinho's men. Same for Barcelona as it travels to Real Sociedad. They might leave it late, but Messi and his teammates always find a way to breach any stubborn opponents and they are recommended to win.

In Germany, Bayern Munich are recommended to win at home to Freiburg. Borussia Dortmund are deserved favourites against Hertha Berlin but it's probably safer to have them as draw-no-bet in case they can't breach the Berlin defensive wall.

The Serie A starts this week-end but it's probably better to wait on the results of the initial weeks to have an idea of the relative strength of the teams. The best and worst teams in this League are much closer quality-wise, compared to those in La Liga and Premiership.

Win: Arsenal, Real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern Munich.
Draw-no-bet: Man City, Fulham, Borussia Dortmund.
Place: Blue Bunting
Each-way: Fame and Glory

Godolphin in good form

2011-09-08T12:42:00.000-07:00

It was a case of 2-3-4 with Fa'iz coming out 2nd, Lady Percy 3rd for a good Place and Special Boy finishing a disappointing 4th after having been hampered. All close results but in the end, no much of a difference on the balance sheet.

There are a few runners on Friday that caught my interest. Opinion Poll looks to have a good chance in the 14:25 Doncaster Cup. This son of Halling always seems to give his best and he's beaten a few of the same opponents on his last outing. Al Zarooni, the Godolphin trainer mentions that his horse should be in the thereabouts and this generally means he's confident of a good race. I see Opinion Poll in the first 3, so I recommend him as a Place.

It will be interesting to see how Inqadh, again from Godolphin, performs on his debut in the Wolverhampton 19:10. He's a son of Argentinian superstar Invasor, whose progenies have hit the board lately in England. He looks a promising sire. Inqadh's dam is Saywaan who was so impressive in winning the only race she ran. Inqadh looks to be the stable's second string as Ajtebi has chosen Echo of Dream. Obviously, there's nothing certain whenever new debutants are concerned, but for those looking for a potentially rewarding outcome with some risk, Inqadh could be one to look at. Certainly the best of the lot on pedigree.

Place: Opinion Poll

Thursday preview

2011-09-07T13:04:00.000-07:00

England beat Wales, as expected and should go ahead and book its ticket to the Euro Finals by snatching at least a point in Montenegro in their next game. I thought Capello's men were in control of the game although they could have lost 2 points had Earnshaw not missed that open net opportunity.Definitely one of the misses of all time, although I've seen a few worse.

I have a few value picks from Thursday's racing cards. In the Wolverhampton 18:10 maiden race, I like Fa'iz from the Godolphin stable. The latter seems to be on a good current vein of form particularly with its juveniles. On form, there does not seem to be any major contender for Fa'iz and I strongly fancy the Dansili colt to be in the first 3. With some course luck, it should win it as well. I recommend it as each-way.

In the 14:35 race at Chepstow, I like another 2-year old from the Godolphin crew in Special Boy. This Invincible Spirit colt has shown nothing in his first 2 outings but is coming back from a 90-day layoff. Provided the trainer has sorted out any wrong with this expensive yearling, he should be playing a major role among this average field. His main opponent looks to be Lady Percy, a Sir Percy filly who had a good debut when coming home 4th around 3 weeks ago at Salisbury. I recommend Special Boy as an each-way and Lady Percy as a Place.

Each-way: Fa'iz, Special Boy

Place: Lady Percy

No way for Wales

2011-09-06T08:17:00.000-07:00

A few races of note over the week-end as well as the European qualifiers, but nothing to really crow about in the world of racing or football.

So You Think won the Champion stakes race at Leopardstown beating the good filly Snow Fairy by half a length. After this race, it's hard to have a gauge of the real ability of SYT. If he had won by much more, as was expected, he would have possibly confirmed being the best in the world from the 10-12 furlong distance. The fact that he struggled to win more convincingly could be attributed to his 2 month lay-off, or that Snow Fairy was at the top of her game, which is not far from the truth after 2 conditional outings. Still, deep down, SYT connections and supporters, like myself, will no doubt have been disappointed with the manner of the win.

England is expected to beat Wales today for the Euro qualifiers and I certainly think they will. Wales is a sad sight in international football and I wish it was otherwise. Sad because over the years, they have produced world-class players of the likes of Neville Southall, Ryan Giggs and Gareth Bale along with decent players like Hartson, Speed, Bellamy, but never been able to make them work as a team. The closest that they came to being competitive were a few years ago when Mark Hughes was at the helm. He produced wondrous results such as beating Italy but came just short at the end. Had he continued and not gone back to club football, maybe the success of the Welsh team would have continued. But I don't see much hope of them being a premier team for now or years to come. To become that, they would need a first-class manager, not a newcomer who's learning the ropes of management. But again, which first-rate manager would want to manage the team, one has to ask. It's too bad because a talent like Gareth Bale would benefit heaps playing European Championships and World Cups. England to win is the recommendation.

Win: England