Saturday, May 11, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Final week

Brighton v Man City - Away
Burnley v Arsenal - Home
Crystal Palace v Bournemouth - Home
Fulham v Newcastle - Away
Leicester v Chelsea - Home
Liverpool v Wolves - Draw
Man Utd v Cardiff - Home
Southampton v Huddersfield - Home
Tottenham v Everton - Away
Watford v West Ham - Draw

And so it ends, one of the most exciting finishes of the Premier League for a long time, with Man City most likely the victors come Sunday evening. I just cannot see them lose points at Brighton. There are a few reasons I think Liverpool are not guaranteed to win against Wolves; their midweek exertions (including post-match) against Barcelona, and Wolves are no push-overs as well. But more importantly, deep down the Kops are aware they are almost chasing a lost cause and will have some of their minds on the upcoming UCL final.
Here are some value nuggets for this last weekday. I see Burnley shocking Arsenal. The Gunners will probably field a secondary team as they have almost no chance of making the Top 4 and they won't recuperate fully from their mid-week Europa league exertions. Like the Kops, they will look forward to their upcoming Europa final against Chelsea.
Another golden nugget regarding those same Blues who will be vulnerable for their trip to Leicester. I mentioned before that the Foxes are a different animal with Brendan Rodgers at the helm and they will create problems for Chelsea. Were it not for Kompany's strike, Leicester might have held Man City in mid-week and thrown the title to Liverpool. They are that dangerous and will be more so next year.

Thanks for tuning in and hope you enjoyed and benefited from my ramblings over the course of this amazing EPL season.

Accumulator: Man City/ Man Utd/ Southampton/ Leicester/ Burnley

Friday, April 26, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 36


Tottenham v West Ham - Home
Crystal Palace v Everton - Draw
Fulham v Cardiff - Home
Southampton v Bournemouth - Home
Watford v Wolves - Home
Brighton v Newcastle - Draw
Leicester v Arsenal - Home
Burnley v Man City - Away
Man Utd v Chelsea - Home

Hope you tagged on the Crystal Palace coup last week-end. Arsenal proved vulnerable as expected.
Man City removed a big hurdle in their championship quest by overcoming cross-rivals Man Utd at Old Trafford. Liverpool are racking on the wins but that massive Derby win should give the Citizens further impetus and confidence to close on the title. It's never easy to go to Burnley but it will a shocker if Guardiola's men don't get full points out of that trip.

Man Utd are reeling at the moment but I cannot see them lose to Chelsea at home. Through thick and thin, they should get at least a point out of this encounter although a win is much needed for them to aspire to the all-important 4th spot. At current odds, a draw-no-bet on the Red Devils looks fair.

I see more misery for Arsenal as they travel to Leicester. The Foxes are a totally different animal under Rodgers and will give the Gunners all they can handle. A win for the home team looks good value here.

Win: Man City, Leicester
Draw-no-bet: Man Utd

Friday, April 19, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 35


Man City v Tottenham - Home
Bournemouth v Fulham - Home
Huddersfield v Watford - Away
West Ham v Leicester - Draw
Wolves v Brighton - Home
Newcastle v Southampton - Away
Everton v Man Utd - Home
Arsenal v Crystal Palace - Away
Cardiff v Liverpool - Away

Man City should rock Spurs and get their sort-of revenge on the Londoners who scuppered their hope for quadruple glory this past week. I see no problem of a Citizens win here.

Liverpool, I believe, will go on and win the title and they should have a relatively facile outing at Cardiff. If they cannot win the 3 points there, they won't win the Premier League, it is that simple.

For a shocker, how about Palace coming up trumps against Arsenal. Emery's men have been gathering the good results lately but they have had a hard European match at Napoli, and although they did win and qualify, I think they could come unstuck against giant killers Palace.

Win: Liverpool, Man City, Crystal Palace

Friday, April 5, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 33

Bournemouth v Burnley - Home win
Huddersfield v Leicester - Away win
Newcastle v Crystal Palace - Home win
Everton v Arsenal - Home win
Chelsea v West Ham - Home win

Man City v Brighton - Man City win

A paltry set of matches in play this week-end. Liverpool got their title aspirations closer to reality today by winning at Southampton. I see easy wins for Bournemouth, Leicester and Chelsea, so they go into the accumulator.

I also see an easy win for Man City in their FA Cup encounter against Brighton. There is a big gulf of difference between those 2 teams and I cannot see Guardiola's men falter at this stage. They are motivated by the quadruple and although I don't think they will achieve it, the domestic treble is very much a live possibility.

Accumulator: Man City/ Bournemouth/ Leicester/ Chelsea

Friday, March 29, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 32

Fulham v Man City - Away
Brighton v Southampton - Away
Burnley v Wolves - Away
Crystal Palace v Huddersfield - Home
Leicester v Bournemouth - Home
Man Utd v Watford - Home
West Ham v Everton - Home
Cardiff v Chelsea - Away
Liverpool v Tottenham - Home
Arsenal v Newcastle - Home

It certainly looks like Huddersfield is going down this week-end. I cannot see them getting a result at Crystal Palace and it is only a matter of when, not if, when they will go down. Man City should prove too strong for Fulham and so should Chelsea against Cardiff.

Liverpool still have their swagger and I see them getting a win against Tottenham. Kane has been on fire since his return but that is one of the rare good news coming out of White Hart Lane lately. Spurs could be under threat to get a top 4 position if they don't get their mojo back. I like Leicester's chances at home to Bournemouth; the Foxes are a better team under new manager Rodgers. Finally, Man Utd should have enough to overcome Watford although a draw will not be surprising either.

Accumulator: Man City/ Crystal Palace/ Leicester/ Chelsea/ Liverpool

Friday, March 15, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 31

Bournemouth v Newcastle - Home
Burnley v Leicester - Away
West Ham v Huddersfield - Home
Fulham v Liverpool - Away
Everton v Chelsea - Draw

West Ham and Liverpool look the teams to back out of this shortened week-end of matches. Huddersfield are destined for the drop and I can see Chicharito having a field day against their poor defence. Liverpool are still alive in the title race and a win at Fulham will give them the lead and a certainly a psychological advantage. They should be too strong for Fulham.

For a good risk/reward flutter, it might be worth getting a go with Leicester. The team seems to have renewed impetus with the arrival of Rodgers and going to beat Burnley is certainly up their alley.

Accumulator: Liverpool/West Ham/Leicester

Friday, March 1, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 29

Tottenham v Arsenal - Home
Bournemouth v Man City - Home
Brighton v Huddersfield - Home
Burnley v Crystal Palace - Home
Man Utd v Southampton - Home
Wolves v Cardiff - Home
West Ham v Newcastle - Draw
Watford v Leicester - Draw
Fulham v Chelsea - Away
Everton v Liverpool - Away

Spurs are slumping and Arsenal are on a roll. However, I cannot see Tottenham losing the London Derby at home to their arch-rivals. When the stakes are on the line, Pochettino's men have proven the more reliable and I expect them to use their superior mental toughness to overcome an in-form team that have yet to prove their mettle against the leading teams in the league. Spurs should prevail in that one despite their apparent loss of form.

With Liverpool having a seemingly-tough match at Everton, it would seem that Man City have the easier match-up against Bournemouth. I don't quite see it that way. I think that the Cherries have the potential to beat the heavily-favoured Citizens as they have strong form at home and Guardiola's men were not convincing in their last mid-week match against West Ham. An upset is possible here.

Accumulator: Tottenham/Wolves/Man Utd
Win: Bournemouth

Monday, February 25, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 28

Cardiff v/s Everton - Away
Huddersfield v/s Wolves - Draw
Leicester v/s Brighton - Home
Newcastle v/s Burnley - Draw
Arsenal v/s Bournemouth - Draw
Southampton v/s Fulham - Draw
Chelsea v/s Tottenham - Away
Crystal Palace v/s Man Utd - Home
Liverpool v/s Watford - Home
Man City v/s West Ham - Home

Although they can still win the quadruple, the odds are really stacked against Man City to achieve something no team has ever accomplished in any league. But they are doing great in all their 3 remaining competitions, particularly in the league, when not so long ago, they were at risked of being left for dead by Liverpool at the top. The momentum has swung mightily and the Kops only hold a 1 point advantage albeit having played 1 extra match.

Both teams should win their mid-week home matches. The Citizens have the better match-up as they entertain a Hammers team that should be overwhelmed in every aspect. Guardiola will be thinking of working their goal difference here. Liverpool will face a pumped-up Watford team coming off a 5-1 thrashing of Cardiff. This will be no picnic for Klopp's men but I still expect them to edge this encounter in the end.

Newcastle against Burnley screams a goal-less draw. This has the air of a snoozer and might be worth a go in the accumulators.

Accumulator: Man City (Win) / Liverpool (Win) / Newcastle/Burnley (Draw)

Friday, February 22, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 27

Burnley v/s Tottenham - Away
Bournemouth v/s Wolves - Away
Newcastle v/s Huddersfield - Home
Leicester v/s Crystal Palace - Home
Arsenal v/s Southampton - Home
Man Utd v/s Liverpool - Home

Man Utd against Liverpool is the biggest rivalry in English football and the stakes are very high in this week-end encounter at Old Trafford. The momentum is clearly with the home team as Ole has revived his old team while Klopp's men seem to be huffing and puffing at the moment. The Kops have enough class to edge this on their best day but the chances are most likely to come United's way, with a Pogba in supreme form conducting their offence. A home team will certainly dent the Kops' title charge and that's the way I see this ending.

Accumulator: Man Utd/Wolves/Leicester

Friday, February 8, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 26

Fulham v Man Utd - Away
Crystal Palace v West Ham - Home
Huddersfield v Arsenal - Away
Liverpool v Bournemouth - Home
Southampton v Cardiff - Home
Watford v Everton - Home
Brighton v Burnley - Draw
Tottenham v Leicester - Away
Man City v Chelsea - Home
Wolves v Newcastle - Home

Tottenham owe it to Son to still fighting for the title. The South Korean has carried the team during Kane's absence by scoring crucial goals and keeping Spurs in the title fight. I think Leicester will pose them mighty problems this week-end and the exploits of Son might not be enough. At current prices, I see it feasible to opt for a straight Leicester win.

Accumulator: Man Utd/Liverpool/Man City/Leicester

Saturday, February 2, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 25

Tottenham v Newcastle - Draw
Brighton v Watford - Draw
Burnley v Southampton - Home
Chelsea v Huddersfield - Home
Crystal Palace v Fulham - Home
Everton v Wolves - Away
Cardiff v Bournemouth - Home
Leicester v Man Utd - Away
Man City v Arsenal - Home
West Ham v Liverpool - Away

Accumulator: Chelsea/Man City/Liverpool/Crystal Palace/Burnley

Monday, January 28, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 24

Arsenal v Cardiff - Home
Fulham v Brighton - Home
Huddersfield v Everton - Draw
Wolves v West Ham - Home
Man Utd v Burnley - Home
Newcastle v Man City - Away
Bournemouth v Chelsea - Home
Southampton v Crystal Palace - Draw
Liverpool v Leicester - Home
Tottenham v Watford - Draw

Arsenal and Man Utd are bankers to win their home matches. Man City face a tricky encounter at St James Park but it is a must-win for them if they want to keep pace with Liverpool who should edge their home match against visiting Leicester. Tottenham look vulnerable at the moment with missing stars like Kane and Son and I expect Watford to give them all they can handle on Wednesday night. It might be worth including Fulham and/or Wolves into accumulators as both are in a position to strike against lowly opposition.

Accumulator: Arsenal/Man Utd/Liverpool/Wolves

Friday, January 18, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 23

Wolves v Leicester - Home
Bournemouth v West Ham - Away
Liverpool v Crystal Palace - Home
Man Utd v Brighton - Home
Newcastle v Cardiff - Home
Southampton v Everton - Draw
Watford v Burnley - Home
Arsenal v Chelsea - Home
Huddersfield v Man City - Away
Fulham v Tottenham - Away

Another week and another great opportunity for most of the league pretenders to garner full points as they play modest opposition. Liverpool, Man City, Man Utd and Tottenham would consider it a setback if they fail to pick up 3 points from their matches. Spurs have the more delicate task of the four as they travel to Fulham without Harry Kane but I still expect them to notch the win.

Add Newcastle to the mix as Benitez's team have a golden opportunity to take all points as they host Cardiff. The Welsh outfit look prime for the drop at the moment and I see them stuttering until the end, particularly on their away matches.

Accumulator: Newcastle/Man City/Man Utd/Liverpool/Tottenham


Friday, January 11, 2019

EPL 2018/19 - Week 22

West Ham v Arsenal - Home
Brighton v Liverpool - Away
Burnley v Fulham - Away
Cardiff v Huddersfield - Home
Crystal Palace v Watford - Home
Leicester v Southampton - Home
Chelsea v Newcastle - Home
Everton v Bournemouth - Draw
Tottenham v Man Utd - Home
Man City v Wolves - Home

Chelsea have been misfiring lately but I expect them to find back their scoring touch against Newcastle. Hazard is due for a big number on the score sheet and this might be the match he gets his team rolling again. Newcastle are an out of sorts team that should do enough to stay alive in the league but not good enough for any pretense otherwise. The Magpies make more headlines off the field these days surrounding the impending sale of the club and I cannot see them troubling the Blues at Stamford Bridge.

Man Utd have been on a roll since Ole's appointment but it could all be coming to a halt as they visit Tottenham. The Red Devils haven't won during their last 7 league visits to Spurs and I cannot see them reversing this trend this year. Truth be told that Man Utd are playing much better since Ole took over but they have also been playing less than stellar teams. Spurs will be an entirely different proposition. Kane and company have an excellent record at home and I cannot see them losing this match.They should either edge this or come away with a draw.

Man City look set to be in a long unbeaten sequence and should have no trouble defeating Wolves. Liverpool have a tougher road trip at Brighton but the superior Kop quality should prevail and Klopp's team should maintain their current lead gap at the top.

Accumulator: Chelsea/Man City/Liverpool/Tottenham

Monday, December 31, 2018

EPL 2018/19 - Week 21

Everton v Leicester - Draw
Arsenal v Fulham - Home
Cardiff v Tottenham - Away
Bournemouth v Watford - Draw
Chelsea v Southampton - Home
Huddersfield v Burnley - Home
West Ham v Brighton - Home
Wolves v Crystal Palace - Home
Newcastle v Man Utd - Away
Man City v Liverpool - Home

Very quickly, Arsenal, Spurs, Chelsea look easy winners. Man City are playing their league defence against Liverpool. I believe they will win this to keep any hope of keeping their title. Man Utd are on a roll and should be able to ride their wave and land a win at Newcastle. I like Huddersfield's chances at home to struggling Burnley. Any pretense of the Terriers staying in the division will require them to win many points at home and they don't come any easier than Burnley these days.

Happy New Year 2019 to all readers of this blog! Wishing you a lot of winners in the coming year!

Accumulator: Man Utd/Arsenal/Spurs/Huddersfield/Chelsea/ Man City