Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Champions League Wednesday

What a thrilling Melbourne Cup that was. Like many, I thought Americain stayed way too far and should have won that race. But credit to the winner Dunaden for digging deep when it looked like Red Cadeaux had it in the bag.

Still on the racing front, the stall draws for the Breeders Cup were made on Monday, and Goldikova was granted the No 1 rail. There is no doubt that this plays greatly in her favour. She can be tucked in her usual stalking position and provided she does not get boxed in or suffers from a novice pilot error, she should be poised to make the difference in the straight. At this point, my confidence in her to win No.4 BC Turf Mile has greatly increased with her draw.

Wednesday night is another round of Champions League football and I like Bayern Munich as they host Napoli. The Germans are very difficult to break down at the Olympic stadium and Napoli just does not have the team or European pedigree to cause an upset in Germany. I recommend Bayern as a draw-no-bet.

Benfica play host to Basel and I cannot see the Swiss causing an upset there. Benfica are strong at home and unless they misfire, they should be taking 3 points out of this contest. I recommend them as a safe draw-no-bet. In the same group, Man Utd play Otelul which they beat, albeit with difficulty, in Romania. The Red Devils are not in great form but they should still have too much class and firepower for the Romanians. The return of Tom Cleverley will do wonders for their midfield, in my opinion, as their play seems to be more dynamic with him. Man Utd is recommended as a draw-no-bet as well.

Draw-no-bet: Bayern Munich, Benfica, Man Utd

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