Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Ayr Thursday

The jockey championship race is getting more animated with long-time leader Paul Hanagan feeling the heat from the surging Kieran Fallon and de Sousa. That looks set for a great finale in a few weeks time. Certainly one way to look at the race-cards would be to look for those 3 names and try to pick out their best chances every day. I don't have any statistics to back this up, but these challengers are bound to have the busiest schedule till the end as their agents work round the clock to obtain the maximum number of good rides possible. Sort of banking on quantity so as to increase and maximize the number of wins.

None of the three are involved in the first race at Ayr on Thursday, where I expect the Galileo colt Never Perfect to give a good account of himself. The field is very average and Never Perfect had a very encouraging debut a little more than a month ago, finishing 4th of 10, around 4 lengths off the winner. If he's gotten the improvement he's been entitled to since that race, he should be among the finishers. Jamie Spencer riding should be a plus, and I recommend his mount as an each-way punt.

Each-way: Never Perfect

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