Wednesday, March 14, 2012

One more big casualty?

Two Champions League games in a few hours; Real Madrid host CSKA Moscow and Chelsea will try to overcome a 2-goal deficit against Napoli.

Real Madrid will go through, no question. Mourinho has beaten Moscow twice before with Chelsea and Inter, and there is no reason to think he won't do it again this year. I cannot see Moscow winning at the Bernabeu with the current awesome form of the Los Blancos. It's easy to recommend a Madrid Win together with their qualification.

The second game is more tricky as Chelsea are in real danger of being booted out of the competition. Napoli are a real tough team to compete against, possibly the 3rd best one still remaining in the competition after Barcelona and Real Madrid. It is difficult to assess the Londoner's current form and ability with all the changes going on at the moment at the Bridge. They are capable of the best and worst. To me, the value lies on the Asian Handicap market. There are value odds for Napoli at +2.0, and I can't see them being sunk more than 2 goals in 90 minutes by the struggling Londoners today. That's the recommendation.

Win: Real Madrid
To qualify: Real Madrid
Asian Handicap: Napoli +2.0

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