Thursday, June 28, 2012

Ticket to the final

Black Caviar came and won as everyone expected, but whether she really conquered is still up to public debate. The fact that she won in the circumstances that involved the near-catastrophic ride of rider Luke Nolen and her possible in-race injury, is testament to how good she is. I think her record speaks for herself and she is truly one of the greatest sprinters ever.

England lost to Italy on penalties. The shoot-out was yet again detrimental to the Lions. There should be no misery felt there though as the Italians deserved to go through based on the 120 minutes played. I wonder how many more penalty shoot-outs England will lose before winning one again. The bookies should open a market for that one.

Yesterday Spain edged through by beating Portugal after shoot-out as well. Just my opinion, but I think today's winner of Germany or Italy's semi-final will win the tournament. Spain are going through sheer class and luck and it won't be surprising if they stumble at the last hurdle. They can never be written off through.

So, today pits Germany and Italy and the Germans are clear favourites. They have been very impressive, showing versatility in all their games. They have guile, they are efficient, they can slow or raise the tempo of the game, their squad is talented enough that they don't have to rely on the same 11 players (like England). The Italians will have to be at their gritty best and possibly their best chance is to reach for the penalties again. Germany as a draw-no-bet in 90 mins looks the value punt here.

Draw-no-bet: Germany

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